Thursday, September 4, 2008
Here Comes Gustav With Wind, Rain, & A Few Strong Storms
The latest models are showing at least 1 to 3 inches of rain for most us before all is said and done. A couple spots may even break 3 inches! Make sure to be careful of ponding of water on the roadway. One other interesting note is that it will turn breezy with wind gusts of 20 to 30 mph developing late today and tonight. The Storm Prediction Center has our southern viewing area in a slight risk of severe weather but we will all have to watch for a strong storm or two late today and overnight. The biggest threat for us would be wind gusts near 50 mph and you can never rule out tornadoes when it comes to tropical systems. Gustav has already produced 50 of them so far in its 11 day lifespan. But the good news is our tornado risk here at home will stay at 5% or less. As this tropical system interacts with a baroclinic system or cold front sometimes strange things can happen and I do think some areas especially in southern Indiana and Illinois could in fact see a few tornadoes. There will be a strong low-level jet stream adding wind shear to a system that already has plenty of spin to it. I will keep you updated.