Friday, August 29, 2008
In the world of weather I finally get to show you rainfall tonight. If you take out the big rain we had earlier in the month it is our driest August since 1996. Some lucky dogs got .25" of rain but that was the exception to the rule and our best bet for rain over the next couple of weeks will be from what is left of major hurricanes that will likely hit the United States. All interests from the Gulf of Mexico, Florida, and even up the East Coast will have to monitor things very carefully. Right now I see two hurricanes making landfall in the next 7 days and maybe two more on the way by the middle of September before things settle down. I will have their tracks on the news tonight and post the latest on the blog. Also, keep cool thoughts because our hottest weather of the season is on the way. Here is a good way to keep cool....
Snowfall is still looking slightly below average for us this winter with milder than normal temperatures moving in after Christmas and continuing through much of January and February. Our biggest snowstorms this year could very well be in November, December, and March. It is fitting that it will be another strange season. The autumn outlook looks like we will stay drier than average through October before we get our rain and snow that we are used to in November and through much of the winter. We will still have an early frost in September, but also plenty of Indian summer in October. More details on the way....we will name all the snowstorms this year just like they name hurricanes....send in names..I will have the forecast number of snows and monthly totals posted this evening. Things will start getting back to normal here on the blog. I have my second wind and I have a thousand things to write about! Have a wonderful weekend!
Thursday, August 28, 2008
Wednesday, August 27, 2008
Tuesday, August 26, 2008
Monday, August 25, 2008
What a beautiful start to our work week here in Lafayette. Here was the view from Wrigley Field yesterday afternoon where it was perfect baseball weather. It was sunny with a game time temperature of 72 degrees.I made sure to bottle up some of that nice weather and bring it home with me and today here in Lafayette was certainly picture perfect. The Cubs ended up beating Washington 6 to 1, but the game experience meant much more to me than the score and yesterday this native Washingtonian was a Cubs fan and adopted into the Cubs family. How can you not want to root for the Cubs? My first time at Wrigley Field was unforgettable. The ivy walls are much better to see in person than on TV and the only thing I can compare this experience to was when I got to go to Lambeau Field to see Brett Favre play against the Redskins last October. But after being at Wrigley Field I can easily say it was the best sports stadium and place I have ever visited. Lambeau Field I would rank a close second and if you are a sports fan both of those places are a must-see! Hopefully my wonderful relatives in Wisconsin forget to read the blog today. I am in a world of trouble now. Hopefully they still like me for who I am. :)
It all started with a wonderful bus ride from Lafayette. I got to meet tons of nice folks and huge Cubs fans from the Lafayette area including Flora and Kokomo. My job was to bring nice weather and keep it nice or I would have to walk home. Luckily the weather worked out! I want to thank Jim Newell and Jim Calloway of Imperial Travel for making it a day I will never forget. Jim Newell who I like to call "1936" since he has great stories of our most famous heat wave ever to hit Lafayette was our tour guide and I learned a lot not only about baseball but about Chicago including where Dick Butkus went to school, where Ann Landers used to live, and where the world's largest apartment building is located. The ride went fast with all the tidbits of information including just how many great parks and museums make up Chicago and we even found some palm trees on the beach off Lake Shore Drive. As we drove into Wrigleyville as it is called it is like you are going into a different country. There were waves of people wearing Cubs shirts, tons of restaurants and bars, and an atmosphere like none other. It was almost like stepping into one big Mardi Gras party. The statues of Ernie Banks and Harry Caray are near each other and then you go under one of the world's most famous signs that says Welcome to Wrigley Field. It gives you goose bumps. You then proceed into the stadium where you are greeted with a Hack Wilson banner. He still holds the record with 190 RBI's in one season. The stadium is just full of history and the field is pristine. I could go on and on but let's just say that I am a changed man and it is for the better after yesterday!
Friday, August 22, 2008
The latest check on Florida is not good with tornadoes being sighted from Ponte Vedra Beach to the World Golf Village. These places I mention were all the areas where my family was vacationing at just a few weeks ago. You see us on the beach during the better days before Fay hit. I did notice the weather was bizarre when we were there with unusual rain and disturbingly low pressure for that time of year. I was worried this would make my old stomping grounds a target for tropical systems. My fears became a reality today with tons of power outages hitting the area with very few traffic lights working from the Beach to the Downtown area. This is due to tons of huge oak trees toppling over. Wind speeds of 30 to 50 mph with a saturated ground is not a good combination for those beautiful trees. Powerlines are on homes, cars, and front lawns. Folks are trapped in their homes as a result of these hot wires. Up to four inches of rain per hour hit the area with some localized rainfall now surpassing 14 inches in part of Jacksonville. The St. Johns River is becoming a beast as it approaches high tide this afternoon and is well out of its banks. It is feeling the effects of a storm surge of up to 3 feet along along with those record-setting rains. The river has white caps at this point and looks more like the Atlantic Ocean. The water simply has nowhere to go and I am very worried about many of my favorite places to go being washed away with a clean-up that will last not just months, but years. This tropical storm will go down as one of the worst tropical storms on record and is causing the worst flooding in Jacksonville since 1964.
Thursday, August 21, 2008
Now last but not least I spoke of a tornado dog hero out in Benton County where the tornado hit just over two weeks ago! Here is the great story.
Thanks Brad! I will make sure to post Sadie's picture. I wish all of our human viewers were like Sadie and they heeded the warning when those sirens go off! I did snap the heroine's picture and will post it here on Friday. Now are you ready for some football? Will there be more points than rainfall and can you keep those weekend plans? Tune in tonight for more answers and I will talk to you soon here on the blog.
Wednesday, August 20, 2008
This is Kevin (Mike's summer intern) filling in for Mike while he's doing a live shot from Columbian Park with the Hike with Your Hound event. There's going to be a lot of vendors at the event promoting hound-related health. Several demonstrations, games, and contests are in store for this fun evening for you and your best friend. The event is free, but 5 dollar donations are suggested for participants to the Dog Park Association of Greater Lafayette, which will donate proceeds to Pawsibilities Unleashed, a not-for-profit organization that is working to raise funds to purchase and train a working dog for a Lafayette youngster. Four-year-old Addy suffers from Dravet Syndrome which causes her to have seizures. Her working dog will be trained to recognize the symptoms of her seizures, and alert an adult immediately, so your donations are appreciated.
On the weather front (no pun), we are tracking some storms in south western Illinios, but they aren't expected to move into Indiana as they are spinning counterclockwise around a low pressure center currently in Oklahoma. A complementing high pressure center is over the New England area that is going to funnel lots of moisture into our area tomorrow. Though most of it will end up in Illinois, we will still have a heat index in the mid 90's for tomorrow. July is the hottest, but August is humid, and we are going to fell it tomorrow. Stay cool, and remember to hydrate throughout the day!
Tuesday, August 19, 2008
THE MODEL OF CHOICE:GFDL MODEL (WILL POST NHC TRACK HERE BY 5 P.M.)
PROBLEM: FAY IS NOW BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED OVER LAND WHICH I HAVE NEVER SEEN HAPPEN BEFORE...UPPER-LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE IS NOW BUILDING OVER IT WITH GOOD OUTFLOW NOW SHOWING UP ON THE LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY. THESE LIGHT WINDS ALOFT WILL ALLOW FAY TO BECOME MUCH STRONGER ONCE IT RE-EMERGES IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
SINCE FAY IS MOVING OVER SWAMPLAND OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 18 HOURS IT SHOULD STILL HOLD TOGETHER QUITE WELL....YOU CAN NOW EVEN SEE AN EYE FOR THE FIRST TIME WITH WIND GUSTS OF 78 MPH BEING REPORTED NEAR LAKE OKEECHOBEE. FAY IS TRYING TO MAKE A MOVE TOWARD FLORIDA'S BIGGEST LAKE AND WITH PRESSURES FALLING AND I DO NOT EXPECT THE WIND SPEEDS TO DIMINISH MUCH AT ALL.
STRENGTH & TRACK FORECAST: ONCE OVER THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AN EXPLOSION TO A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE IS LIKELY....( WIND SPEEDS WILL GO UP TO NEAR 100 MPH SUSTAINED WITH A LANDFALL BETWEEN MAYPORT, FLORIDA AND BRUNSWICK, GEORGIA...WIND SPEEDS IN MANDARIN, FLORIDA FARTHER INLAND WILL BE FROM 40 TO 50 MPH SUSTAINED WITH GUSTS TO 75.....GUSTS AT THE BEACHES (PONTE VEDRA, JACKSONVILLE BEACH, ATLANTIC BEACH COULD REACH NEAR 90 MPH WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 50 TO 70 MPH....FARTHER UP THE COAST CLOSE TO THE FLORIDA-GEORGIA BORDER WILL BE THE BULLSEYE...WIND SPEEDS SUSTAINED OF 80 to 100 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 110 MPH....BIGGEST STORM SINCE DORA TO IMPACT NORTHEAST FLORIDA....1964....ALTHOUGH THAT STORM MADE LANDFALL NEAR ST.AUGUSTINE WITH FLOODING AS THE MAIN PROBLEM. FAY WILL BRING NOT ONLY SOME FLOODING CONCERNS BUT PACK A PUNCH WITH PLENTY OF WIND.
What this means for us here in Indiana.....this big tropical system that is getting stronger will mean more sinking air around its periphery causing our high pressure here at home to be much stronger than what we are used to this time of year. I will check the record books for record lows as I cannot rule out some upper 40s in this type of set-up. Remember everything in the weather world is related and it takes something big for this to happen and Fay certainly fits that bill. Not only will we have a monster high pressure that is stronger, but it will be slower to move out. This will delay our rain chances likely until late Saturday or Sunday.
Next week here in Indiana we could see another strange week with another hurricane approaching the southeast coast. This hurricane may be even stronger and all interests from Florida to the Carolinas need to take note.
Happy Birthday to Megan our oldest daughter who is 11 years old today. She has come a long way from Myrtle Beach and every year just keeps getting better!!
Monday, August 18, 2008
Sunday, August 17, 2008
Friday, August 15, 2008
We are going to have our nicest Friday weather in 4 months! We will never forget how we had severe weather and rain for like 100 straight Fridays! Well it wasn't that many but at one point we had rain on 12 out of our last 14 Fridays. There will be no Freaky Friday this time around and the big news is that we have Friday Night Frenzy tonight on WLFI for the first time since last March tonight! We have great "football weather" for all the scrimmages. In other words it will once again feel like autumn out there and instead of nature blitzing us with uncomfortable heat and humidity or thunderstorms and it will be just right with cool breezes, clear skies and temperatures in the lower to middle 70s early this evening. The sports team is all geared up and we will have plenty of highlights tonight from West Lafayette, Mc Cutcheon, and Jeff and that is just a small sample.
Today's weather is also just the beginning of a beautiful pattern. We have a huge double-barreled high pressure coming down from Canada. This is the same system that has really controlled our weather for much of the month of August and has helped to divert the jet stream about 1,000 miles farther south than where it should be. We have only had 2 days of rain in August with cooler, more stable air in place and has helped continue our streak of having no official 90 degree weather at least at the Purdue airport has reached an incredible 67 days!
Usually we are under the influence of a Bermuda high pressure this time of year with plenty of heat and humidity. Having a 90 degree day this time of year is as common as firing up the grill or eating some sweet corn on the porch. Well not this year and I am still concerned about an early frost around September 23rd. The forecast is for an early Frost, an early snow, and maybe a mild winter with an early Spring. There are plenty of mixed signals as we head into 2009 and our winter so stay tuned. Chances of a cold autumn is looking likely at this point. Summer is not totally done yet as the Bermuda High does show signs of making a comeback in our forecast the last week of August and for Labor Day. So if you are looking for hot weather you will have to wait awhile. In the shorter term, the East Coast will still have to watch the tropics carefully and an active tropics usually means a slow-moving weather pattern for us. This is good news if you like sunny, comfortable weather. For those that missed out on the rain yesterday you may want to water the plants because our next chance of rain may hold off until at least the middle of next week and even that is no guarantee. It was very strange yesterday with areas between Lafayette and Battle Ground not receiving a single drop of rain while other areas toward Shadeland picking up between a half-inch and one inch of rain. Luckily, I have not had to water the lawn once this year and the tomatoes have loved the weather we have had this summer. This is an understatement!
I wanted to thank our weather watcher Marty from Otterbein for bringing in some fresh Better Girl tomatoes yesterday. My ham sandwhich never tasted so good last night and they were the sweetest tomatoes I have ever had. Now I am hungry for some BLT's even if it is before 9 a.m. You do not even have to put those tomatoes on anything they are so delicious. Okay, let's keep the good news coming!
Let's get right to our skylights for the weekend:
Tonight look for Saturn, Venus, and Mercury all bunched up in the sky together after sunset. Remember planets do not twinkle, but stars do in case you have trouble identifying them.
The moon will be playing tag with Jupiter which of course has a big storm raging on its surface that is 3 times the size of the earth and has wind speeds close to 250 mph.
Speaking of the moon we will miss the lunar eclipse unless you are heading to Europe for the weekend. But we will not miss out on the FULL RED MOON which is officially Saturday night. It will be a great night for all those heading out to the Indiana State Fair. Nature has you covered along with all the great food and displays
Last but not least have a wonderful Friday and like Teri reminded all the bloggers, it will be a great day to go to the Humane Society Garage Sale to help raise money for those special animals. I will make sure to post an animal hero here on the blog by this afternoon and some other pictures. This dog actually herded her family and warned them that bad weather was on the way last Monday night before the tornado hit Benton County. My nickname for her is TORNADO DOG! Thanks for reading and I will check back soon.
Thursday, August 14, 2008
We have to start off this morning with a song from the Twilight Zone. Snow is in the forecst in northern Wyoming on Friday night which is only about 1,200 miles from Lafayette and at the same time we have no 90 degree weather even close to us. A nor'easter is heading up the East Coast. Florida has had damaging thunderstorms due to a cold front nearby. Normally this does not happen until October. The big threat for Florida by early next week will be a hurricane. There could be not one but two hurricanes forming in the next 10 days. I haven't even gotten to the 110 mph jet stream howling into the Tennesee Valley from the northwest. What season is it? You could make a case all of our upper-level maps are looking like a mix of autumn and winter. The developing hurricanes will be a reminder that it really is still summer. I will have more on this bizarre pattern and the Purdue's back to school forecast. Boiler Up!
Wednesday, August 13, 2008
Good morning! Here is a nice picture to start your day off on the right foot. This should wake us all up. Thank you Marty Sloan for sending in this picture of a shooting star over Wolf Park during the Perseid meteor shower on Monday night. Look just above trees. You can see why the wolves and humans were howling over nature's dazzling display. I did get to see one bright, slow-moving shooting star while walking the dog. There were even some high cirrus clouds and some neighborhood lights to contend with but they were no match for nature's big show.
Michael Phelps was once again the talk of the Olympics last night as he continues to strive for perfection and here at home nature just did not want to be outdone. We also had reports yesterday evening around 8 p.m. of 2 cold air funnels just north of Newton County at the Interstate 65, route 2 interchange that caused a big raucous on the scanners. Mary Anne in Remington immediately notified me from her Best Weather Network and I cannot thank her enough. Remember doppler radar does not pick them up as they are too small and isolated. Take a look above at the cold air funnel that was spotted in Tippecanoe County back on June 12, 2003. These cold air funnels are usually harmless and occur in the early Spring and late autumn due to unusally cold air aloft. Cold air funnels usually do not reach the ground like the traditional funnels that sometimes cause tornadoes. Many times you do not even need to have a thunderstorm or rain for cold air funnels to form and this means no downdrafts to bring them to the ground. But, in rare cases these funnels can reach the ground and sometimes they can cause damage. On June 12, 2003 we actually did have the tornado sirens go off in Tippecanoe County because one of these cold air funnels did reach the ground downing a couple trees. While the damage is usually minor, Michigan did record wind gusts close to 100 mph with one of these things a couple summers ago. But these stories are certainly the exception to the rule and yesterday here is what the cold air funnel looked like near Lowell, Indiana.
Tuesday, August 12, 2008
It was an auspicious start to school weatherwise and otherwise for TSC kids this morning. I am so proud of all my daughters and a big thank you to my wife who keeps all of us in our family on track. Not bad for a middle child! But seriously I would also like to exend a Happy Middle Child's Day wish and peace branch to Julie. I have tried my best with her to get the kids to bed earlier over the last few days. I slipped up a little with a father-daughter Freaky Friday party the other night. It really was a funny movie and the popcorn was good. The girls do have me wrapped around their fingers. But it was not the best of ideas and I will be stronger next time. You live and learn. The good news is the girls got up this morning just fine and Megan you see above on the left is now in middle school which is nothing short of shocking. Our Abbey on the right has already written her new teacher a letter. Now I was always close to my teachers but this is taking it to a new level. My youngest daughter Lauren wanted to get on the bus with them this morning and I am convinced she is already at a first grade level thanks to her smart older sisters. She would have done just fine. For now I am just trying to enjoy our time together becaue that day is coming and coming too soon!
A big thank you to our neighbor Jesse who had doughnuts and orange juice at her house this morning for all the kids in the neighborhood for thier big day. It has become a tradition. The other good news was that we only had a little patchy fog to the tree tops and for the most part the cars passing the kids at the bus stop did slow down and stayed alert. I witnessed a kid that ran right in front of an oncoming car and it was scary. The good news is that it had a happy ending because the car was going nice and slow and paying attention.
With school starting up tomorrow on the West side this is another good reminder to allow extra time to get to work. The weather looks great once again on Wednesday but that is not enough. Please watch for kids that dart so drive smart and look closely for buses that go and stop frequently and allow plenty of spacing. It can literally save a life.
Now speaking of kids I had a nice chat at the bus stop this morning with many of them before they got on the bus about when their first snow day will be. This unusually cool August pattern that has brought frost to parts of Minnesota and the coolest daytime highs since 1882 to Upstate New York is a sign of things to come for our autumn and winter. Here in Lafayette we have not set any records but lows reached the upper 40s in Crawfordsville. So you can make the case that it is one of our chilliest weather patterns in August since 1989 here in Indiana. I will post more on this here on the blog and have more on this tonight on the news. I do not think we need any folklore for this forecast. I will just have the cold hard facts. Man, this house is quiet. I better go sing a song with Lauren.
Monday, August 11, 2008
Last Monday night we were ravaged with flooding rain, a tornado, and plenty of lightning. My plane flew right into that vicious storm front on my way home last week and it was amazing watching more than one lightning flash per second for the last hour of our flight. Luckily, I had a window seat and sat on the side of the plane facing west where you could really see those huge flashes clearly. Yes, I tried to stay quiet about it so I would not panic anybody on the plane. My heart started racing when I thought about this being the same front that dropped a tornado in Benton County. While I love to fly, I do admit I was a little nervous when I saw this huge wall of towering black clouds snuff out the stars along with vivid lightning. I said a prayer, wiped my clammy hands and warned the girls to put up their trays and finish their drinks quickly before the captain put the seatbelt sign back on. Abbey of course knew exactly what was going on because she checked the radar in the Atlanta airport. The good news is she fell asleep before the worst of the turbulence hit. We did not bounce around too much as the worst of the weather stayed to our west. We landed and I felt like I had a new lease on life and thanked the captain as I got off the plane. My advice to parents is to take the midnight flight home. The kids are tired and you even save some money. I was shocked that the Indianapolis Airport was full of people at 1 a.m. It might as well have been 1 p.m. because it was very busy.
One week later we can look forward to another big show in the sky. This time it is in the form of a major meteor shower. That is right look to the east-northeast tonight after 9 p.m. for the Perseid meteor shower. It is one of the bigger shooting star events of the entire year with 1 to 2 shooting stars possible per minute. The peak viewing will be after midnight tonight to just before dawn. Specks of comet dust will be hitting the earth's atmosphere at over 130,000 mph creating a beautiful display. The Perseid meteor shower is also known for its earthgrazers. These are slow-moving colorful shooting stars the seem to skip across the horizon and many times they look like they will reach the ground. The best viewing for this phenomenon will be just after sunset or between 9 p.m. and 11 p.m.
This is just the beginning of a very eventful week nature will put on in the sky. We also have the moon and planets lining up close together, a few planets chasing each other in the sky, and a lunar eclipse. I will have all the details here on the blog by this evening and the good news is I will tell you about a nice tranquil weather pattern so we can look to the heavens, sit back, and just enjoy. I will see you soon.
Tuesday, August 5, 2008
I have talked to our weather watcher Mark Robertson on the phone in Monticello who has been working with Gordy Cochran at White County Emergency Management throughout the day and the good news is that if the forecast holds the Norway Dam will continue to steady off and fall overnight and Wednesday. A Flood Watch continues until Noon Wednesday just in case we have any more pop up storms. This includes areas downstream on the Tippecanoe River in White and Carroll County. Any additional heavy rain that occurs will have the potential of causing water levels to crest even higher. So for now we all will keep our eyes on Live Doppler 18. The good news is right now no more heavy rain is anticipated which should keep the Tippy from rising any more. Here are some more good tidbits.The latest Norway Dam water level is at 7,000 cfs as of 2 p.m. Lowland flooding can occur when it reaches 9,000 cfs, but again this is not expected.
My plane leaves Florida tonight at 7:30 p.m. I will do my part and bring back lots of sunny and dry weather from the Sunshine State. Everybody is doing well here in Florida and it was great to spend lots of great time with my parents and grandmother. The latest heat index is up to 100 and we have already hit the pool to stay cool. I look forward to getting back to Indiana and will be back officially in the office on Monday. The latest long-range maps do show a nice quiet sunny pattern at least through early next week with not only relief from the humidity, but plenty of dry weather. Our next good shot at rain will likely not be until next week. That is just what the doctor ordered. Enjoy! I will talk to you soon. Now I am going to go eat a big feast Mom has whipped up before we head back North! No more surprises, okay. :) Take care.