No food yet, but I snuck a chocolate chip cookie....some folks are concerned about the break in the snow out there now but do not worry the heavy snows move in late tonight and Friday morning. The latest Rapid Update cycle model has one inch snows per hour moving in by late tonight and the best chance of thundersnow between 3 a.m. and 6 a.m. So patience will be important for us snow fans tonight!
The Storm Prediction Center has put out a weather discussion encompassing much of our viewing area...this is what they are thinking in Norman, Oklahoma!
SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING WITH RATES OF 1 TO 1.5 INCHES POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF IL AND IND. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR A ZONE OF FREEZING RAIN ACROSS THE SRN PORTION OF IL...IND...INTO SWRN OHIO. DEEPENING UPPER LOW OVER ERN OK EARLY THIS EVENING IS BEGINNING TO PIVOT NEWD AND ASSUME A SLIGHTLY NEGATIVE TILT. LARGE-SCALE ASCENT OVER SRN IL/SWRN IND WILL SHIFT NEWD THROUGH MUCH OF IND/SWRN OH BY 06 UTC. CURRENT SATELLITE AND RADAR TRENDS SHOW LINEAR/BANDED PRECIPITATION IS ONGOING AND LIKELY TO CONTINUE OVER IL THROUGH THE EVENING...WITH SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 1.5 INCHES PER HOUR. FARTHER TO THE SOUTH/EAST...AN EXTENSIVE PLUME OF WARM ADVECTION PRECIPITATION AND EMBEDDED CONVECTION IS SURGING NWD AND SHOULD OVERSPREAD SRN IL/SRN IND EARLY THIS EVENING...REACHING SWRN OH BEFORE 06 UTC. RECENT SURFACE OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS INDICATES THE WET-BULB ZERO ISOTHERM IS WELL SOUTH OF THE AREA...EXTENDING FROM THE MO BOOTHEEL TWD NERN KY. THUS PRECIPITATION MAY INITIATE AS RAIN...BUT SHOULD QUICKLY TRANSITION TO SNOW OR FREEZING RAIN AS WET BULB COOLING ENSUES. FREEZING RAIN ACCRETION RATES AROUND 0.05 INCHES PER HOUR ARE POSSIBLE... WITH LOCALLY HIGHER RATES ASSOCIATED WITH EMBEDDED CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS.
In other words, get ready for the BIG ONE! Everything is on track.