Tuesday, March 10, 2009

Another Active Day on the Way

Good morning! I am getting my girls ready for school....they are not too hungry for once. I think it is a TRIX morning. The question is what tricks does nature have up its sleeve? No surprises this morning. The line of showers and storms that was in the forecast is rolling through. I am not expecting severe weather and most importantly no training of thunderstorms. The heaviest rain should be out of our area by 9 a.m. which is even better news. Rain amounts overnight was mainly less than a quarter-inch in most areas. We could see a quick half-inch in some areas early this mornng with our next round of rain.

The next round of storms will move through between 7 p.m. and 11 p.m. We could see an additional half-inch to three-quarters of an inch of rain. The good news is that we should stay below the critical two inches of rain in most areas which will prevent major flooding on the Wabash and Tippecanoe River. We still have to watch for the worst flooding since February of 2008 in parts of the area and residents along the Tippecanoe and Wabash Rivers will have to be ready to move if necessary. Let's just keep those rain amounts on the lower side!

We are still in a slight risk for severe weather and the atmosphere should be most unstable in our area right around 9 p.m. The lifted index and CAPE values are much lower than they were on Sunday afternoon. The lower these values the lower our chances of damaging storms. But I have done this long enough to know that we will all need to monitor this carefully and I will have updates through the day. As of now our main threats tonight will be wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph and small hail. But again this could still change. Just be ready and have a PLAN B. I am going to get my girls to school and will be back with you a little later. Have a great day!

9 comments:

Anonymous said...

As of 8:00 am as I was driving to work, SR43 is closed between Soldier's Home Road and Happy Hollow.

Brow said...

Thanks for the update! I've been hitting the blog every 5 seconds for an change. :p

Ok, so our chances are going to be less, same or higher than that mess that blew through Sunday?

Justin, I will be ready to see your updates on rotations, lightning, monsters, etc. :D

Anonymous said...

OK brow! I just got done looking at the latest and I AGREE with Mike things are looking good and safer weather wise today here is what I'M looking at!

We heard a quick rumble so far that did not last long but a rumble non the less. We also have been seeing some Heavy rainfall with just over a half inch already! Still today with the main line of thunderstorms main threats are still looking like Flooding as we are expected to be at 21ft on Thursday! We are at around 19.25ft now. With rainfall around an inch to two inches today when all is said and done. right now I still think the worse of the thunderstorms will stay in south parts of IL, and in MO, with maybe southern Indiana in some good boomers.

And still that chance for gusty winds with winds expected to gust to near 40 mph today as well. We can look for that main line of thunderstorms with that cold front later on this afternoon to evening! If you pull up a radar you can see the line of rain trying to take form right now down around TX, and OK, areas.

We will still watch things closely to be safe and to stay on top of things but right now things do look a lot better then they did last night! And I think our severe weather threat has gone WAY DOWN! Flooding is now the main threat! Otherwise we do look better. Still be ready to hear thunder today. But severe wise things are looking Much better.

Justin.

Brow said...

Awesome update Justin!

Thank you sir! (salutes)

Getting ready to go outside for am break to check things out.

Anonymous said...

Brow dont know about you but i have .95 rain here in REM since midnight. Creek is coming up fast and of course, is out of its banks.

MA in REM

Anonymous said...

I'M at 0.53" inches after that little rain this morning!

No there is a nice fresh smell outside! Good way to start the day! :o)

Justin.

Anonymous said...

It does look like the temps are going to atleast stay near average.
But, who knows, predicted temps are always changing.

Anonymous said...

East of Yeoman I recieved .67 in rain since midnight. My front yard is a lake again.

Anonymous said...

I hope Mike and Justin are right and our severe weather threat has gone down. I hate severe wx.
Everyone please be safe around the flood prone areas!!

--In Clinton co.