I am heading to church with my family and then will be back at WLFI by this afternoon. This still looks like our prime time for strong storms. Yesterday we had the high risk window between 1 p.m. and 4 p.m. and that still looks good....although just to be safe we need to extend that severe window to between 1:00 p.m. and 6:00 p.m.
Yes, we will have a few rumbles of thunder this morning but the main dynamics with our approaching storm will not arrive until this afternoon.
Here is what is happening..the main cold front that will drop temperatures from the upper 60s into the lower to middle 30s by tomorrow morning will pack a punch. My main threat for us will be wind and some large hail. Our upper-level winds that fuel storms will go from near 35 mph this morning to 60 mph by early afternoon. A few storms could easily drag these high winds to the ground. Up at 10,000 feet we will see the winds go from 45 to 85 mph which is quite impressive. Our CAPE values go over 500 with a lifted index of -2 which is unstable enough for a few weather warnings. There will also be wind shear to deal with but the tornado threat for our area will remain at less than 10%. Thunderstorms will be quick-moving and head east-southeast at 40 to 60 mph this afternoon. Look to the west and northwest this afternoon. That is where the bad storms are heading from.
Keep in mind outside of thunderstorms we will see wind gusts near 50 mph beginning at 3 p.m. and those high winds will continue until at least 11 p.m. There is a flood advisory for White, Cass, Pulaski, Fulton, and Miami Counties for lowland areas. This region has had one to two inches overnight with another inch of rain possible. Be careful in these areas. Flooding is another concern of ours with a flood crest on the Wabash likely on Wednesday.
Off to church and yes I will pray the worst of these storms miss our area and then we will have to get ready for more possible storms and flooding Monday night and Tuesday. If you need me this afternoon you can call the office at 463-1800 ext. 255 or e-mail me at firstname.lastname@example.org. All rainfall amounts, storm reports, and pictures will be greatly appreciated.