Well the Norway and Oakdale Dam water levels are starting to steady off after a rapid rise between 5:30 p.m. and 8:00 p.m. but they have a very high flow between 16,000 and 17,000 cfs. It is enough to close a couple roads in Carroll County at 2000 and 2500 W. Some folks have reported up to 4 feet of water in their yards at Horseshoe Bend but no evacuations have been ordered since most roads still remain clear of water. I spoke with White and Carroll County Emergency Management and they have made it clear that all residents in those normally flood-prone areas on the Tippecanoe River need to be ready to move if evacuations are ordered. If the flow reaches up to 22,000 cfs then the flooding would be bad enough for this to happen. Levels are not expected to reach that high but residents need to monitor the situation closely over the next few hours. The good news is NO MORE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT....but Tuesday could be a different story.
High wind gusts are also causing problems with power lines being knocked down. The ground is soft and saturated due to 2 to 3 inches of rain and those wind gusts of 40 to 55 mph are easily causing big problems. The wind should start easing up by 9 p.m. across the area. I will check back if anything should change tonight. Thanks for all your helpful e-mails and pictures. I will post all those incredible pictures as soon as I can. What a day it has been and I appreciate all your help as always. It was a team effort and we proudly were the only station that warned you of those hurricane force winds that swept through the area. I am glad everybody is safe and sound from where you live! :)
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28 comments:
Thank you Mike for staying with us, and your wonderful updates. You should get some rest!
Teri in Laf.
Yes, thank you for the updates! Very helpful and again, especially helpful to those of us without TV :)
I missed the entire event!! I hope that everyone is safe and sound. I heard that a bus was lifted up and dropped onto a building....and that several semi's have been blown off of the highways.....wow!!!
Chris in Tipton
Ditto, Anonymous! Severe weather times are the only times I wish I had a television. I am so thankful for this blog!
Annie are you feeling oh--say--like having a baby yet??? Maybe tomorrow when the next low pressure system comes in? The arrow on my barometer is going straight UP and that is one reason for these high winds. isobars must be packed pretty tight. I dont like wind on a clear day, It makes me nervous as all get out.
Going to bed bloggers...it was a short night and we most likely will be here tomorrow night doing the same thing we did today :-(
MA in REM
I have to say that was extremely weak today. I was skeptical we would get much severe here in Lafayette, but was surprised to see us on the edge of a 10% torn / MOD risk area. It perked my interest only to have no severe at all.
Tuesday's system will be more potent. I have to look at the latest models tonight or tomorrow morning, but last time I checked a couple of the models had the system speeding up and the other two had it slowing down.
If it slows down the worst severe weather could stay out in Missouri and Illinois. Otherwise Tuesday will bring much more severe weather than we got today.
After that, back to nice and cold weather!
-Ven
I love weather as much as the next person, if not more so! I love winter weather....snow, ice....etc. I love severe weather IE tornadoes....from a distance. The only problem is...if it is a distance from me...it is on top of someone else. Winter weather doesn't tear someones home apart. It can be bad....but come on!!!
Chris in Tipton
Here is the latest forecast for Tuesday:
SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS WILL LIKELY BE ONGOING TUESDAY MORNING ACROSS THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI/OHIO VALLEYS...A FEW OF THE TSTMS COULD INITIALLY POSE AN ISOLATED HAIL THREAT...BUT A MORE ORGANIZED SEVERE RISK SHOULD EVOLVE DURING THE AFTERNOON...A RELATIVELY WARM/FAIRLY MOIST EARLY SEASON AIRMASS WILL HAVE QUICKLY RETURNED NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE REGION WITH SIMILAR PREFRONTAL MOISTURE AS COMPARED TO SUNDAYS SYSTEM. STRENGTHENING DEEP LAYER WIND FIELDS WILL SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF A BROKEN BAND OF WELL-ORGANIZED LOW TOPPED STORMS/SOME SUPERCELLS...EVEN WITH MODEST INSTABILITY /PERHAPS ONLY 500 J PER KG SBCAPE/. DAMAGING WINDS...A FEW TORNADOES...AND SEVERE HAIL WILL ALL BE POSSIBLE INTO THE EVENING.
-Ven
Thanks Mike for the updates - please keep us posted on NIPSCO's water release from the Oakdale Dam and The Wabash River.
The Wabash River crest is now predicted at 22.2 feet - and I am not sure if that figure includes the rain amounts predicted for tomorrow?
We are on edge right now - because we live on the Wabash River - and with Nipsco releasing MORE water into the Tippy (which ends up in the Wabash) - things look pretty bleak here.
Hey Vennie,go tell the people in the southern part of the state how weak the weather system was,and how disappointed you seem to be.You people simple amaze me with all the dome and gloom you want.
I didn't read anything negative in Ven's post at all. Just another blogger sending a comment.
Keep your comments coming Ven. I find them informative and interesting reading.
I see,Chris in Tipton comments on vin and thats ok,but someone who is'nt part of the cult,makes a comment and thats unacceptable.Vin was making lite of a weak frontal system,by his standards,and people in the southern part of the state lost homes and personnel property.Thats just not right and i really don't care what you people think.
Like the break in the weather for today! Let's hope it will be ok for the folks in and around the rivers. Yesterday morning the creek just down from us was headed out of its banks. Friends of ours were over by Norway said it reminded them of last years...water up high on local eatery. Ugh...I had alot of reading to catch up on, glad to see everyone was staying on top of the weather. Been surprisingly busy and haven't been on. Hope all is well with each of you!
Jamie
Not to be spreading doom and gloom, rather to make people aware of what could be coming --- Tom Skilling's blog (WGN)this morning is saying possibly 2-3 more inches rain AND high winds (post storm as yesterday) tomorrow along with possible severe storms agan.
Carpenter Creek is now back in its banks but just barely plus the ground is so soggy...let's pray we are as blessed as we were yesterday with minimal damgage (unless it happened at your place and then it was not minimal).
For as much wind damage reports around the area on this blog there sure is not much coverge in local media outlets, such as WLFI/JConline.
Have a great day all!
MA in REM
Hi MA,
Sorry I have been gone from the blog for awhile. Been pumping water from the basement since Saturday morning. I was out in Benton Co. when the strong winds and rain hit. Man it was interesting. Remember that part in the movie twister where they see the cows go by. Yep that is what it looked like.
I am glad I have a heavy truck to go out in the storms in. The rain was flat and looked like it was being pushed by the winds not just blown. My camera was worthless due to the visibility. I was out by the windfarm to see the affects these storms have on them.
Hi William! Wondered where you have been. Dang, sure wish you had your wind gauge back up. I had a 51 mph gust non-tstorm yesterday and many between 30-40 mph for several hours. So...how does wind affect those wind blades? were they turning at a high speed? I am surprised to see they show up on radar! I thought radar only saw precip but guess not. I have seen wind fronts (Outflow boundaries) though, so guess it must record other things, too.
You may have seen where DH and me followed the creek into Benton Co to see where flooding starts and the WIND was gruesome. I sat here watching the horizontal rain as it hit here, too. Did you see the storm coming in?? Here in town it did not look the least bit threatening.
More coming in the next 36 hours, you do know that, right?
MA
Glad we got Mike's weather blog,since some of the sirens in the co. did'nt work properly,next time they may not even activate
MA,
My weather Station is toast. Not much of it was left after the last big wind storm. I thought I had it fixed but that did not last long. I do not have any wind break out here so there is always some sort of wind to record. Age took over with this situation. I will get a new one. This time I am putting it on a steel structure.
does'nt matter how fast the wind is blowing,the blades on a wind turbine will only go a certain speed,dont know the speed ,but its not very fast,under 17mph I heard but please dont qoute me on that.
Mary Anne-
I'd LOVE to have a baby tomorrow! And labor would be a great distraction from the severe weather!! So if you don't hear from me for a few days you'll know why! :)
MA,
There are brakes on the turbines that keep them below a certain speed for saftey and to keep them from taking off. I wanted to see how the winds changed in sever weather around them. I think the radar picks up the wind shear or the motion of the blades themselves. Mike would be a good one to ask. All I know is a semi at the 200 mile marker on the railroad over pass did not stay on all 18 wheels yesterday when it hit. He ended up on his side down in ditch near the camp ground.
William, hope you see this I will copy it to the newest blog, too. I cant imagine being out IN that wind yesterday! I would have loved to see the blades on those puppies! yes, wind shear for sure.
will you please HURRY up and get a new wx station???? Just kidding but i want to know how much higher the wind speeds are out there compared to here where I am somewaht protected. Do you know anyone in Benton County who might be interested in COCO? would love to have rain amounts and wind speeds from out that way.
MA in REM
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