Today me, Kenny and a couple of my friends, Jacob and Corey built a snow couch and enjoyed the outside weather we thought you might get a laugh out of it, and Jacob wanted to see if it could be used as one of your weather pictures on the news lol! Have a good one and stay warm.
Make sure to also brace yourselves for steady temperatures in the teens today with wind chills near zero even at the noon hour. This is quite a pattern!
We may have one of the strongest storms in years to hit the United States. This storm is going to have pressures down to 28.75" or as low as a category two hurricane! No, I really am serious. Since it is winter we can call it the snowcane. It will even have some tropical characteristics as it forms in the Gulf of Mexico. You can see what is causing this snowcane to develop below!
All three branches of the jet stream are coming together. The sub-tropical, polar, and arctic branches all phasing together is like adding high octane fuel to the atmosphere and this only happens once every few years. This is why some folks are comparing this to the big ones such as 2004, 1999, 1996, and the Super Storm of 1993. The potential is there as these 3 jet streams will carve out a full-latitude planetary trough. This storm will literally explode as it develops and I can see severe weather ripping portions of Florida before they change over to snow on the backside. Panama City, Florida could see white sandy and snowy beaches before all is said and done. Areas like Atlanta, Georgia could see several inches of record-breaking snow based on my latest track which is east of the Appalachian Mountains right along the Piedmont Plateau. It could be a historic blizzard for portions of the Appalachians eastern Ohio and Pennsylvania. The areas in the blue shading are considered my bulleye. Since we are so far out this will likely change but it is a good first call. Here is what I am seeing right now and why I think this is correct with the information and data I have looked at. Take a look at the European model below. This is the one I am going with and agree most with. Here is the set-up at 18,000 feet on Monday morning.
Notice the low forms in the northern Gulf of Mexico near Louisiana where you see the big circle. Here in Indiana during the Pre-Christmas storm that hit in 2004 the main low started farther west in Texas giving the Hoosier state a real chance of historic snow. This time around it is simply forming too far south and east because of a strong cold front that will move through the Hoosier state on Sunday. This dry, cold punch of air will push the thermal boundary these storms like to ride farther east and it verifies on this Tuesday morning European map.
I am starting to think even the big East Coast cities are not out of the woods and need to really watch this thing closely. All I have read all day is how they will have heavy rain. Well, I think even Washington, D.C. has a shot at an incredible snowstorm and Obama will get a real welcome to his new home from nature. He will no longer think the weather is wimpy along the East Coast that is for sure. The second thing I look at in this set-up is some agreement and we do have this agreement with another model that I do trust a little farther than I can throw it. Here is what the GFS model has:
The GFS has our storm even farther East!! Okay, now over the weekend we can compare any changes we see to this track and keep you updated on the blog. Right now Lafayette in this set-up will only see light snow from this monster storm along with most of Indiana. This answers the question about how much snow will we add to our snowy winter! Our seasonal totals have gone from 5 inches below average to 1.5 inches above average in less than three weeks.
In a typical winter here in Lafayette we average 22.4 inches of snow. We are quickly closing in on that number. My pre-winter snow forecast was between 25 and 30 inches of snow and I still see that coming true, although it will all add up differently than expected due to the huge turnaround we have seen this month. This weekend I do not see us adding much to the snow totals above and I think we need to brace ourselves for the possibility of some icy weather developing as warm air rides in over our big snow pack. Models are showing about .10" of liquid precipitation this weekend and with our frozen ground and warm air riding in aloft it is the set-up for more slippery and dangerous roads. I do not see a big ice storm but one that tends to try to sneak up on travelers and I just will not let that happen to you this time around. Be on guard starting late tonight into Saturday morning and once again Sunday afternoon when a lot of folks will be traveling to Super Bowl parties. This is not a good mix. I will have more on this here on the blog including the Super Bowl forecast that I just want to show so I can warm you up. It does look like we are missing out on the big blizzard next week, but we will likely see its nasty backlash in the form of sub-zero temperatures by Wednesday not counting the wind chill. Have a great day and thank you bloggers for firing me up again late last night. You are worth missing out on a little sleep!
We also might as well have fun with this. I want Super Bowl predictions and scores and we will compare those with our WLFI staff. Remember I use a special weather formula to predict games and I will be tough to beat on this contest! lol :)