Thursday, May 29, 2008

Iowa Hit With More Tornadoes Today, Watching Things Closely Here at Home Tomorrow


What a beautiful day it is again today in Lafayette. Yesterday was picture-perfect and you can see the beautiful sunset over the bell tower at Purdue. But it is late May and we all know this can change in a hurry this time of year. Based on the latest models we still have thunderstorms in the forecast Friday and Friday night. If a squall line does develop it looks like it will hold off until later Friday and Friday evening. Despite the SPC upgrading our severe weather risk on Friday and Friday night to the moderate range, I think we will likely see some scattered strong storms but severe thunderstorms producing damaging wind and large hail will be isolated in nature. Here are a few reasons why.

The main surface low lambasting Iowa with tornadoes today will quickly lift toward Duluth, Minnesota taking a lot of the upper-level energy and spin in the atmosphere producing those horrific storms today with it. This is good news for us. Also, we have a lot of dry air in the atmosphere for this storm system to overcome. This is courtesy of an autumn-like May pattern which has brought our chilliest May in 11 years. The big question is how much Gulf moisture we will have to work with. Right now it looks like the deep, tropical Gulf moisture will be blocked by a sprawling upper-level high pressure located in Alabama making it feel like summer in the deep South. This Dixie high pressure will keep our dewpoints or actual humidities lower which would limit the amount of strong storms in our area. So if you do not like strong thunderstorms you may feel like singing Sweet Home Alabama. But, here in Indiana we know that we can't start singing until we are given the all clear. We are not totally out of the woods yet. Your pre-cast is on the way with more. In the meantime, enjoy the baseball sectional out a Central Catholic for the top 2 teams in the state. The weather looks terrific! Enjoy!

Now for our special guests:

Hello my name is Brian Wolfe and I am the new weekend meteorologist here at WLFI-TV. I am a Synoptic Meteorology student at Purdue University. It is my opinion that the MCS that will move into the area over night on Thursday will erode away in the dry air of the high pressure system that is moving south, out of our area. By this occuring, I feel that we will be able to get rid of the debris clouds from that and crank some moisture into the atmosphere. This will lead to the dewpoints rising into the mid 60's and the temperature around 82. All of this should de-stabilize the atmosphere enough to have a moderate risk for severe weather to move in late Friday afternoon and into the evening hours.

Great job Wolfman! I am really excited to have you on our weather team. We will have tons of fun tracking storms and the great part is you like snow too! By the way, does this mean you will give up your part-time gig on CSI Miami? Now for our second weather guest. This goes to show you there are a lot of question marks on this system and you need to stay tuned for the latest.

Hello all, this is Kevin Burris, the new weather intern at Channel 18. I am also a meteorology student at Purdue University. I'm going to forecast conservative for the storms on late Friday. The vorticity predicitons for tomorrow are bare, so we might see some rain showers, possibly heavy at times, but no severe thunderstorms. However, better safe than sorry, so keep an eye on the sky. It is Indiana.


Thanks again to Brian and Kevin. You will certainly see Brian again on the air and I will make sure to have them both back here on the blog in the future. Now on to today's precast!

video

10 comments:

Anonymous said...

Mike, these kind of stroms really scare me! I live in a very old home that does not have an iterior room nor closet,without windows every where! Not even a bathtub just a shower on the west side of the house, my house is two story, my only place for us to be safe would be on the stairway.still there are windows. Where would a safe place be for us? Turning the sofa over and take cover under it? I do have neighbors that have a basement however they are not home most of the time!! What you recommend for us to do other than move?

Dogmom Cheryl said...

Drat! The SPC has upgraded us to a moderate risk for severe WX tomorrow. I'm not good about storms at all, so you can bet I'll be checking the blog for updates on Friday. Thanks for all you do to keep us informed and (hopefully) safe.

ROMNEY SCAREDY CAT said...

I AM THE BIGGEST SCAREDY CAT, BUT I WILL PREPARE TONIGHT FOR THE WORST TOMORROW ! I WILL BE LIGHTING A HOLY CANDLE AND SAYING MANY MANY PRAYERS FOR THE SAFETY OF ME & MY FAMILY + ALL OF YOU THE ENTIRE TIME !! WE CAN'T CHANGE ANYTHING ABOUT HE WEATHER, THAT IS FOR SURE, BUT PLEASE JOIN ME AND SAY YOUR PRAYERS THAT GOD KEEPS US ALL SAFE FROM HARM ! GOD BLESS US ALL !!

Anonymous said...

Hey Mike I live in Lafayette but I'm visiting in Michigan right now, between Flint and Port Huron. SPC says that early activity tomorrow could stabilize the atmosphere up here and it won't be as bad this way, but you're saying that it will move further north? They've said there might be a more widespread outbreak in Michigan tomorrow but they aren't forecasting it yet. What does it look like up this way tomorrow? Thanks!

Anonymous said...

Calm down everyone....

Nat Weather Service has been off lately.(fri, Mon, tues)...

I say cloudy with a chance of sprinkles..... so fire up the BBQ!!!

Anonymous said...

Right now my map's for tomorrow have us in a moderate risk of severe so I think this is a storm that we should watch very colsely.
I mean we have gone this far without any severe weather so we need to take every little system serious!!!

Justin in Lafayette.

Brow said...

Love the precasts Mike! Yeah lets watch this one closely. Good thing that hopefully things will cool down a bit before it hits hard.

Rumor has it that the weekend will be nice...looking forward to that. :)

Anonymous said...

I LOVE it...we have the "right" and the "left" in weather now...or is that the "bulls" and the "bears"??? Welcome aboard gentlemen! It will be interesting to see who is right about tomorrow!

Meantime, to the woman who has no interior room...do you have an entrance to the UNDERNEATH the stairs? IF you see a bad storm coming you could always MAKE an entrance! JUST KIDDING! What about a closet? The sofa is good if all else fails! Please, DO have a plan of some kind. Do you have a weather radio? Can you hear a siren if it goes off?

Mary Anne in Remington

Anonymous said...

To Mary Ann: no there is not an entrance underneath the stairs, nor a closet, like I said this is a very old house, the only closets are upstairs, not a place to be during a bad storm. Yes I do have a weather radio, and yes we can faintly hear the sirens if they were to go off. We have always had a basement before. Love this house just too many windows! Thanks for your input though.

Anonymous said...

Love the precast, keep up the great work and all you do.