Saturday, April 28, 2012

Summer Rainfall Outlook Takes a Rainy Turn!

Normally I would give this kind of weekend a 10 out of 10 but the latest update on our drought is not good. Despite the downpours we had last weekend we are still officially in an exceptional drought and still need a good foot of rain to break out of this arid pattern that started in 2010.

I do give the latest long-range maps an A+ if they are correct! For the first time in 2 years they are showing almost the entire state of Florida receiving above average rainfall beginning in July and continuing into early autumn. This shift and glimmer of light at the end of a long, dark and dry tunnel is thanks to a weak El Nino developing this summer. This warming of the Pacific Ocean normally shifts weather patterns all over the globe including here in Florida.

In the short-term our rain chances stay low through much of next week with an average of only .01" of rain in the next 7 days. A trough of low pressure may help our chances in the 8 to 14 day outlook with 1 to 2 inches of rainfall over our area on average. But for now it is all about sunshine, sand castles, remembering to reapply the sunscreen, and day-dreaming of rain on the hammock which might not be so far-fetched anymore!

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