Saturday, July 12, 2008
Early Wake-Up Call With Flooding Rain & Damaging Wind Gusts Possible
It is good to check in with you. We had some incredible cumulonimbus clouds and rainbows at 6 a.m. Our weather team is here and ready. They have given way to some localized flooding in Tippecanoe and Montgomery County. They will be moving into Carroll, Clinton, and Howard Counties. The main threats will continue to be lightning and flooding. After 7 a.m. stronger storms from our north and west that have produced warnings in the Chicago area will move our way. The main threats will be flooding, damaging wind gusts, and lightning. Stay safe and I will get on more crawls for television.
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78 comments:
So far the only reports with that line in CHI ILL, has been high wind reports but hey that's enough.
Justin in Lafayette.
I am watching it right now. What time do you estimate for that second line Justin?
ML
Im looking for it to be in tipp, by around 8:45am we as well as benton, warren, fountain, montgomery, vermillion co, could see some high wind's with this system for it look's to be bowing some!
Clods are at 450FT to 500FT system is moveing ESE at 23 MPH.
Justin in Lafayette.
These storms look to die down before they get to us.
It's later we really need to be ready when that cold front up just north west of I'LL, moves are way.
Still we will keep a close eye on anything that come's are way.
This is Indiana.
Justin in Lafayette.
Morning all!
Sorry I missed the rainbow, I just laid in bed listening to the sound of a nice rain shower.
The storms up near Chicago have me concerned.
Teri in Laf.
Big heavy rain drops in Remington. I had .66 in the gage last night and .23 this morning. No wind to really speak of yet. clouds to the north of my location getting darker. william in remington.
Looks like this line of storms are on the same track as yesterday N and W of Laf.
William, looks like your way will be gettin hit by this line?
Thanks all. I am just staying home now for a few hours, will wait until later to go out. Can't remember the last time I slept in til after 6am Teri, I forget what it feels like! Hope we don't all have a long night.
ML
Well, evertime I look at the radar it changes within in mins, the storms weaken then pull back together, one of those days
The rain has really let up soft light rain drops. makes me sleepy.
william in remington
Good morning bloggers! I was jolted out of bed at 5:50 a.m. by the wx radio going off! What a squall line coming from up around Kankakee! It has died down now but is pouring here right now! I had
.27 before midnight and have another .46 right now with it still pouring! That amount is from the roof wx station. I am not wading out to the official NWS gauge yet :-))
Will check in here often. Stay safe everyone! Justin, in your forecasting don't forget us up here in Jasper County :-)
Mary Anne in Remington
ML its a treat for me to sleep in, when school starts I will be up at 4:45 am, I am on summer break which is soon coming to a close!
T
This wx statement is out of Chicago of which William and I am a part of (Jasper County) but the entire discussion will affect all of us later today as that front comes through:
THUNDERSTORMS...THE STRONGEST OF WHICH COULD PRODUCE FLOODING RAINFALL...WINDS GUSTS OF 60 MPH AND HAIL UP TO NICKLE SIZE.
AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING:
STORMS ARE ONGOING ACROSS MUCH OF NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST ILLINOIS...AND WILL BE OVERSPREADING THE CHICAGO METRO AREA BY 600 AM CDT.
NEW STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS...MAINLY EAST OF INTERSTATE 55. SOME OF THESE NEW STORMS MAY BE SEVERE WITH THE PRIMARY THREAT BEING DAMAGING WINDS TO 70 MPH.
DISCUSSION:
A SQUALL LINE ASSOCIATED WITH A COLD FRONT HAS MOVED INTO NORTHWEST ILLINOIS AND MERGED WITH A GROWING CLUSTER OF STORMS OVER NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS. THE RESULT HAS BEEN TO ENHANCE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT OVER NORTHERN ILLINOIS. THE PRIMARY THREAT FROM THESE STORMS IS HEAVY RAINFALL AND INTENSE LIGHTNING. STRONGER STORMS MAY PRODUCE MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL. AS THE SQUALL LINE MERGES INTO THE STORMS DOWNSTREAM...DRIER MID LEVEL AIR MAY PRODUCE BOWING SEGMENTS IN THE LINE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS.
THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH LATER THIS MORNING...THEN REFIRE EAST OF INTERSTATE 55 BY 300 PM CDT.
Ok will do mary anne.
I got .45 as well.
Justin in Lafayette.
With these storms lightning look's to be the main thing to watch out for for the whole viewing area.
Justin in Lafayette.
We are seeing some dark clouds moveing in here in tipp,
Justin in Lafayette.
Thanks for the wx statement out of Chicago!
Teri in Laf
I was only joking T, I am an early riser no matter what, weekend or not. I like to enjoy long summer days! Getting pretty dark to the north right now!
ML
ML. if you dont mind me asking where are you located in Lafayette?
I live off Kossuth St. Wow really pouring right now!
Teri
Yor are welcome, Teri! Watch your email later :-) Nice rainy day to be lazy....and read :--)
I am up to .74 inch rain now with it still coming down.
MA in Remington
We still have a few more rumbels of thunder to get through this system is moveing slow at only around 25 MPH but hey at least it not severe right?.
Justin in Lafayette.
By 10:45am newton, jasper, warren, tippecanoe, and benton, should all start to clear out at least for a little bit for a high pressure system is moveing into the area.
So take in this break while you can!
Justin in Lafayette.
When do you think the next line will hit? How long of a break do you think we will have
Well it's hard to give a good strong time line so here is just an idea and this can still change.
We may have a break till noon then another break till maybe 2:00pm or 3:00pm now don't hold me to this it most likely will change again.
Justin in Lafayette.
Thanks Justin, we know that things could change in a heartbeat.
From 8:30am to now I have .75 in the rain gauge.
justin in Lafayette.
and more rain on the way.wonder how the creeks and rivers are looking
I just read that laf could see 1.82 inches of rain before this all ends
I just dumped out .95 here in Rem. The state of IL is clear right now and the next batch is coming across the E part of MO/IA.
MA in REM
Here is what the map's are saying right now.
We mite start to see the storms in the WLFI veiwing area by 3:00pm or 4:00pm.
Right now showing the worst of the storms between 4:00pm and 6:00pm tonight!!!
That's the latest.
Justin in Lafayette.
Mary Anne how is your creek looking?
The creek came up real fast in that inch of rain. It is about half full right now. The rain came down very quickly. I should have done an intense precip report to CoCoRaHS but didn't. Justin are you reporting daily? What is your station number if I might ask? There are several from Tip County.
MA in Remington
My station number is 18 station name is Lafayette 1.2 SSW.
And yep I report every day.
Justin in Lafayette.
Thanks Justin :-)
MA in Rem
We are now starting to see some pop up's in I'LL,
Justin in Lafayette.
Teri, I am at 900 East and Rte 26 basically. Weather out here can be completely different than in Lafayette "city"!! Will check in later on as more storms develop, going swimming now.
ML
There is a line of storms forming over in SPI I'LL, right now clouds are at 500FT with possible hail.
I will keep you posted as to were it will go!
Justin in Lafayette.
ML,I know what you mean about the wx being different where you are located than what it can be in town, many times much worse in the east!
Have fun swimming!
See ya here later!
Teri
Just looking at the latest radar in central and eastern IL. Looks like storms have started to "pop" near Springfield, IL. .. no watches are warnings has of yet. this activity seems to be strengthening and heading toward central indiana near and after 7pm.. few more hours of swimming here for now !! Brandon ( indianapolis ) ((currently in Wabash , Indiana ) ))
Clouds are currently at 500FT hail the storms are moveing around 25MPH.
We could start to see some by around 5:45pm or 6:00pm.
Will talk county's when it get closer.
Justin in Lafayette.
Looks like its heading NE however there are two lines the other moving SE appears like they are going to collide, I am waiting for a watch box or warning for all of our viewing area
Because of all the daytime heating we had the storm's are moveing into our warm air temp's and getting stronger. The clouds were at 500FT and now at 550FT so this is something we really need to keep a close eye on.
I'll be back in a few with the countie's.
Justin in Lafayette.
Here is the latest wx statement regarding severe wx. A possible watch is being considered. Notice it mentions the Indy and Kokomo area. Justin do you have access to a Zulu clock compared to EDT? I couls sure use one. Could impact the TV-18 viewing area:
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 122037Z - 122200Z
TRENDS ARE BEING MONITORED FOR AN INCREASING SEVERE THREAT AND THE POSSIBILITY OF A WW.
DEVELOPING STORM CLUSTER ACROSS PARTS OF EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI INTO CENTRAL ILLINOIS APPEARS TO BE SUPPORTED BY AN AREA OF STRONGER MID-LEVEL FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH A SHORT WAVE IMPULSE...WHICH IS BEGINNING TO MERGE INTO CYCLONIC FLOW ON THE SOUTHEASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MANITOBA/WESTERN ONTARIO DEEP CLOSED LOW. WHILE CONVECTION MAY BEGIN TO BECOME DECOUPLED FROM THIS FORCING AS IT ADVECTS EAST NORTHEASTWARD LATE THIS AFTERNOON...A MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER WITH CAPE OF 2000-3000 J/KG PROBABLY WILL MAINTAIN ACTIVITY ALONG/NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 70 CORRIDOR THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON.
ALTHOUGH DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS GENERALLY WEAK...20+ KT WESTERLY DEEP LAYER MEAN ENVIRONMENTAL FLOW COUPLED WITH MODESTLY STEEP LAPSE RATES COULD CONTRIBUTE TO A FORWARD PROPAGATING SURFACE COLD POOL CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS BRIEFLY APPROACHING SEVERE LIMITS.
THIS COULD IMPACT THE INDIANAPOLIS METROPOLITAN AREA NORTHWARD THROUGH KOKOMO/PERU BY 13/00-01Z.
MA in Rem
Sorry Mary anne I have no idea what a zulu clock is?
As of now here is the co, that could see this storm.
Tippecanoe, benton, newton, jasper, warren, and northen parts of fountain co,
Justin in Lafayette.
Weather radio just went off with a severe thunderstorm watch foe tipp, warren, clinton,howard,white,
Justin in Lafayette.
There is a system that poped up over fountain co and vermillion co,
Clouds for that system is 450FT
Justin in Lafayette.
Ok as of now the severe thunderstorm watch is for the whole WLFI viewing area but newton jasper and benton co,
Justin in Lafayette.
That watch box includes 39 counties
The storm is moveing E at 35 MPH clouds are still at 550FT we could see with this storm wind possible hail in places and heavy down poor's.
We should start to see this system by 6:30pm should.
Justin in Lafayette.
We are currently getting some thunder here in LAF, from a small system which will be over head by 6:16pm.
The other system wont be here till 6:30pm or 6:45pm.
Some good new's no MESO or TVS.
Justin in Lafayette.
By latest map's this next system might stay just to the south of tipp if it don't shaft!
the counties who will for sure see this system is carroll, montgomery, vermillion, and fountain co,
Justin in Lafayette.
I got a friend down in fountain co, and she said they are getting very loud thunder and bad lightning!!!
Justin in Lafayette.
from what I understand the storms will continue to develope thru the night, the glob out west is to grow more intense
Out of this squaw line the main countie's to see it is boon fountain clinton vermillion and montgomery co,
Clouds are 550FT with hail no MESO or TVS.
Justin in Lafayette.
Justin...see the time thingy in the wx statement I posted? it says "Valid-122037Z - 122200Z". That "Z" is "Zulu" time and can be convereted to any time zone anywhere. I can't find a good one I can understand. I need to ask Mike about that. Thought maybe you would have access to one.
MA in Rem
O ok thanks at least now I know :)
Justin in Lafayette.
Vermillion countie has a line of storms comeing with clouds as high as 600FT anyone in the path of this line which is south of tipp, stay inside for you can expect very bad lightning hail and heavy down poor's.
This is for vermillion, fountain, boon, parke, putnam, hendricks,
Justin in Lafayette.
MA here is a link.
http://hurricanes.noaa.gov/zulu-utc.html
william in remington
Tippecanoe, carroll, clinton,and north fountain is looking good from this system!
We here were Im at in tipp did not see anything other then a little bit of thunder and a quick sprinkle.
How is everyone doing?
Justin in Lafayette.
About the same here in Clinton C . thunder and rain. Looks like the sun is trying to come back out.
justin
what do you think of this link?
No rain in Rem yet.
william in remington
http://hurricanes.noaa.gov/zulu-utc.html
Great that help's alot with zulu time I now have it in my Favorites.
Justin in Lafayette.
Im watching the map's and so far Im not seeing any more storm's poping on the back side of what we had earlyer.
Still we have a lot of rain expected rainfall is between a quarter and a half of an inch.
Mary anne look's like all you are haveing to worrie about is rain so far anyway.
Justin in Lafayette.
Right now the time line for our next best chance for storm's is between 10:00pm and midnight.
A 50% chance Sca T-storm's.
Justin in Lafayette.
Thanks, William! I have seen the site before but may need your help in getting me a thing I can understand, such as :
6:00 EDT - ??? Z
MA
Hey, maybe I have it now!!! Thanks, William!!
MA
For any of you bloggers interested in seeing photos of the spectacular shelf cloud associated with the derecho that barrelled through 3 states the other night, here is the link. There are 99 photos and every one of them is worth seeing!
MA
http://www.nbc5.com/weather/16852012/detail.html?dl_trayclick
Hey Mary Ann, I checked out site! Mother Nature can be beautiful and deadly at the same time. Amazing photos shelf and roll clouds! Thanks for sharing :-)
Teri in Laf.
Hey all looking at the SPC there was a tornado reported down in and or around clay, and putnam, counties.
That is what I call to close to home!!!
Justin in Lafayette.
MA glad to help. This will work for anyone. All you need to know is what time zone you are in or want to know about and go across from the current time in the first column. Hope this is clear as the skies right now.
William in Rem
Glad we were able to dodge the worst of the storms once again. I feel for the folks that are stuck in this line. Here in Laf. the sidewalks hardly got wet!
T
Hey anyone catch the purple sunset was beautiful! I have never seen anything like it! I tried to get a pic but to many power lines.
t
Well everyone thing's are looking good for the whole WLFI viewing area.
I think we are in the clear in the way of storms!
We here in tipp, really lucked out. :)
As for were that tornado was reported that was just a little to close to home.
I sure do hope everyone down in that area are all ok and safe.!!!
So everyone enjoy the rest of your week hit the pool's!!! and love that warm weather for Im looking for 90s on wednesday and thursday.
Justin in Lafayette.
Nighty Night Sleepy Tight, DONT LET THE LIGHTNING STRIKE!
Sleep well bloggers, been a busy day!
Yep night all.
I have been up from 5:00am to now and man o man I am tired!!!
Sleep well. :)
Justin in Lafayette.
IT' A BEAUTIFUL MORNING, THINK I'LL GO OUTSIDE AND PLAY!
Morning all, remember that song, I was humming it when I woke this morn.saw sunshing and the birds were singing away!
Just a short comment before we are off to the pool! Thank you Brian for keeping us updated during yesterday's storms, you did a wonderful job! We enjoy watching you on the news, We are waiting for this evening to count the cricket chirps :)) to the Bloggers that watch TV, Brian is great!!!!!
All enjoy this lovely weather!
R&T in Lafayette
Hey everyone I just want to say everyone did a great job!!! on the blog yesterday!!!.
It is great to know that I can come here and get some of the best weather info there is from all the great blogger's and mike!!! :)
I hope everyone had a great and brite day!!!!!
Justin in Lafayette.
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