Well it is a good thing that most of you would want a heat wave more than a blizzard. Our weather poll has gone quite well with over 400 responses! I think the voting was closer than you may have thought.
The finally tally had 56% in favor of a heat wave and 44% wanting a blizzard. It is good to know I am not the only crazy one that loves snow. It makes me feel great! Thanks so much for participating in our weather poll. We will have many more fun questions coming your way. But these polls are a sign I am in big trouble. This means my forecast will be unpopular with more than 4 in 10 folks tonight. Those that want rain which is probably more than 8 out of 10 people will not get what they want either.
But I will take it like a man and let you know that there is plenty of hope for us to get out of this drought and heat wave pattern. When all is said and done I will make plenty of folks smile. I do aim to please everybody! But I know I am just the messenger. Now back to the heat wave. Most models have us reaching 90 degrees or higher for 3 consecutive days beginning on Saturday. What makes this significant is it would meet the criteria for a heat wave in Lafayette, Indiana. Of course it would be much different if we lived in Phoenix. Location, location, location, that is what it is all about and here at home we are the hot spot. Notice the hot weather spreading our way. This is all a function of how dry it has been with a 7 week rain deficit now over 3 inches. The sun's energy is able to directly go into heating our ground, and with very little moisture to evaporate it becomes more efficient. We certainly will be able to feel this, especially by Saturday.
The biggest fear most folks have is that they are worried it will just stay hot and dry all summer. The latest long-range maps have plenty of hope that this simply is not the case. You can sleep easier tonight. This does not mean it will not be on the hotter, drier side this summer, but I like the 1964 analong year which gives farmers and the rest of us lots of hope for some rain and breaks in the heat at times this summer.
An analog year is simply a year that matches up well with this year in terms of key meteorological factors. Basically, our weather maps look very similar. By understanding the past we are able to better understand the future and this helps with long-range forecasting. Make sure to join me here on the blog for more good news coming our way with plenty of relief for our plants, lawns, and June sizzle. Just be patient. If you cannot wait you can also tune in at 5,6, and 11 to stay cool. I look forward to seeing you! Have a great day!