We have had day after day of rain this past week with over 10 inches of rain in some areas just to the south and east of Jacksonville and around St. Augustine. Since May the downtown Jacksonville area has received a mind-boggling 50-55 inches of rain which is above our yearly average of 52 inches! So we do have good back to school weather and low chances of rain the next couple days with high pressure in control, but do not forget the mosquito spray and pack the back packs with extra water.
By late week we will get back into the storm zone with two fronts dropping south drawing up plenty of tropical moisture. A big dip in the polar jet stream could actually increase our severe weather risk. The tropics are quiet but will likely heat up in a hurry the last week of August into September. Enjoy the brief respite.