Here is the Prangley weather deck and notice by 10:30 a.m. we already had just under one inch of snow or .90" to be exact! Another inch of snow is possible by time it tapers off to flurries by 2 p.m. It is beautiful but be careful!Good morning! What a wake-up call from nature. Today's band of morning and early afternoon snow is a sign of things to come this week. None of the models had this snow flaring up over us this morning just like none of the models have been calling for much, if any snow moving our way this coming up week, but we have not and are NOT believing any of them that is for sure. Bowling last night was a blast and yes I stuck by my forecast. The State Farm folks I hung out with were a lot of fun and it is nice knowing I have plenty of good or should I say great neighbors. I had a few strikes and nature will be striking us with plenty of snow this week. The pattern is a snowy, stormy set-up for Lafayette and this Sunday morning the models are finally coming around with precipitation totals skyrocketing not only on our Sunday, but for the bigger snow Monday night into Tuesday.
First things first...today be careful of dangeruos road conditions with a quick inch of snow likely and with the "fluff" factor or this being a Colorado-type snow with all the cold, dry air in place some areas could push two inches. The snow will taper off this afternoon but roads remain slick as temperatures stay well below freezing in the teens not allowing the road salt to do much of anything.
The second bigger storm that has already prompted winter storm watches to our south will bear the most watching. I have Lafayette in the 3 to 6 inch snow band at this time. We may have to add to these totals but this is a first good estimate that may hold true. Icing issuses could be very likely south of Interstate 74 as the northward trend continues on the models meaning more warm air will likely mix in. So when all is said and done it will be in fact be the Lafayette area that has the highest snow totals. Be careful today and I will keep you updated. More snow is likely on Thursday but it looks lighter. When all is said and done, 6 to 8 inches of snow is likely for Lafayette this week. Now it is time to go to church and pray for everybody's safety this week. I love when we can wax up the sleds but understand it sometimes comes with a price for those that do not slow down or have patience on the area roadways. I pray that everybody stays safe this week so our kids and even us adults can take in nature's beauty to the fullest.
I will check in with you later today and tonight to keep you ahead of the storm and look for a special funny blog posting in the near future that will likely bring some smiles on your faces. It is always good to laugh and most importantly laugh at yourself from time to time. My weather hop approach to bowling apparently turned some heads last night. Have a great day and be safe!
First things first...today be careful of dangeruos road conditions with a quick inch of snow likely and with the "fluff" factor or this being a Colorado-type snow with all the cold, dry air in place some areas could push two inches. The snow will taper off this afternoon but roads remain slick as temperatures stay well below freezing in the teens not allowing the road salt to do much of anything.
The second bigger storm that has already prompted winter storm watches to our south will bear the most watching. I have Lafayette in the 3 to 6 inch snow band at this time. We may have to add to these totals but this is a first good estimate that may hold true. Icing issuses could be very likely south of Interstate 74 as the northward trend continues on the models meaning more warm air will likely mix in. So when all is said and done it will be in fact be the Lafayette area that has the highest snow totals. Be careful today and I will keep you updated. More snow is likely on Thursday but it looks lighter. When all is said and done, 6 to 8 inches of snow is likely for Lafayette this week. Now it is time to go to church and pray for everybody's safety this week. I love when we can wax up the sleds but understand it sometimes comes with a price for those that do not slow down or have patience on the area roadways. I pray that everybody stays safe this week so our kids and even us adults can take in nature's beauty to the fullest.
I will check in with you later today and tonight to keep you ahead of the storm and look for a special funny blog posting in the near future that will likely bring some smiles on your faces. It is always good to laugh and most importantly laugh at yourself from time to time. My weather hop approach to bowling apparently turned some heads last night. Have a great day and be safe!
184 comments:
Awesome!
Yeah I was just looking out the window and seen actual...should I use the word "heavy snow" coming down right now in Monticello...From watching a few forecasts this morning on TV, I thought it was just supposed to flurry...doesn't look like it to me.
I really want to get my daughter outside and sledding as I have been promising her that for awhile now. :)
Who are in the winter weather watch? I know its southern In but I dont see any issued.
So this snow is going to be going on all week and the 3-6" or poss 6-8" will happen over several day??
The roads will be plowed, for the next round, then the next???
Bet no school snow days for many areas, the HWY dept will be able to keep roads clear.
Bummer I was hoping it would fall at once!
Mike....Love the increase in the amounts of snow predicted, However, if it is within your "powers" I would love it if you could add about an additional 10 inches of blowing and drifting snow on top of this too. My wife and I have not been "snowed in" for quite some time now, and it could help out this family in having more grandchildren in the near future too!!!
Great job Mike, keep the good news coming. If we get 3-6 inches Monday night into Tuesday on top of the 1-2 we get today, I wouldn't worry about a snow day, it will happen. If there is 3-4 inches of snow and any wind at all, there will be problems on the roads. The only problem is that most school districts have already used up their snow days so they might be more willing to try a half day instead of cancelling for the whole day. Either way, I'm off work until Wednesday, I'll enjoy it for everyone!! Be safe everyone!!
The snow is beautiful!!
I was looking at the 7 day forcast though and I'm hoping somebody merely hit a wrong button or something because it has us getting a "sand storm" on Thursday...Please tell me that was just a mistake haha
haha sandstorm... lol
thats a good prediction, might want to run the models one more time tho... ;)
sun is trying to peak though,still nice snow coming down in Tippecanoe County!
Careful the roads are slick!
Ah come on, lets stop the jibber jabber about a sandstorm, this has been going on since yesterday!
Lets get to the real facts that there could be a SNOW STORM!
Thanks for the update Mike. Those of us in Benton County are already bracing for some wind after the storm. It continues to amaze me when I leave home for work in the am its 5 degrees colder on the themomometer out here than it is in town. We appreciate your efforts and know we will get the deeper end of the stick out here. Mabey we need to open up a satellite office out here in the flat lands of Benton for you!!! Have a great Sunday!!
We will most certainly be busy at the grocery store tomorrow afternoon if not by evening! Watch out for the "rush".:)
Thats right mike nothing did point to this much snow for Lafayette today! I did see a map and or model showing around an inch but thats about it! I have a inch right on the nose at this time with a real light snow flurry. If it is to stay that was then we where close. However I think maybe another half inch is possible!
Justin.
Hey Justin you awake LOL!!
What are seeing for Monday and Tuesday?
I trust Mikes forcast but so many "forcasters" disagree!
some are saying nothing for monday night and only an inch for Tuesday.
Justin: Thanks for your updates and your time.
Quick Question: The weather channel is showing this system staying more to the south. How far north will the heavy snowfall be? In another words, will Fulton County be affected, or will it be one of those storms that we hear "the farther south you travel, the worse it will be"?
Thanks,
F/C
_____________________________
F/C To your question if this system does go as planed moving north that is. Then I do see you getting a good amount as well as much of the WLFI Viewing area. I don't think you will miss out on much. Still the main amounts as of now will be around the Tippecanoe county area I wilol not count you out!
Hope this helps.
Justin.
I see it starting late Monday night into Tuesday and starting to tapper off later on Wednesday.
Still I like my 3" to 6" I had last night with a good chance for mikes 6" to 8".
Again the models did not have what we got today forecasted to well.Other then a possible inch. This is why I like a good snow for Tuesday as the moisture keeps moving north I like our chances.
Justin.
Mike and I have been pretty close together with our forecast this time around.
Justin.
Why doesn't the 7-day forcast screen under weather match with the forcast screen under weather:forcast?
I need to know the overnight lows.
Desiel's are picky about starting about 4:00 am.
Mike my one inch of snow melted is one tenth inch of watch.
Justin.
I read on another blog that the snow we are getting to day, in Tipp Co,.. shows that this system is pushing the pressure to the south..and the forcast is for only an inch of snow on Tuesday! That it will not stay on a northen track!
Whats up what that???
Justin: Thanks for the information. Please keep all the snow "down there". There is still plenty of snow in Fulton County, and most of us are tired of driving on slick and drifted roads. The county roads have finally cleared of ice and snow. Let it stay that way.
I have enjoyed reading about the snow that many of you are receiving at this time. We have received no snow, and in fact, the sun is trying to shine. YIPEE!!!
F/C
We will see what we can do F/C lol..... Have a good one.
Justin.
I guess that F/C's comment about no snow in her/his area, shows that there is not enough low pressure to make enough moisture for the Central and Northen part of the state .. from what I have read,,yet I dont believe:) Hang in there PRANG GANG!!!!I am with all of you! Mike is the best!!!!
Thanks Justin and F/C hope your luck lasts:)hope where I am we do get snow..
Snow eater Tipp.
I can't wait for tuesday or wednesday when everyone is complaining that we only got 1 inch of snow.. never fails.
Thanks everybody!!! Let's all hope we get what we want. I have just seen a couple flakes of snow, but local radar shows that today's system is south of me. I am just on the northern fringe of it.
F/C
That sounds right F/C for we do have enough moisture to work with with this smaller system.
Real quick Bloggers I just got done checking out a few more things wuth the system to come. I still like late late Monday night to start the flurries then it should really take off as we get into Tuesday into Wednesday. I still like the way things are setting up at this time. Still we have a few days to go! We all will be watching it closely.
For now Snow lovers keep hope!
I will check back in a little later for now have a good winter wonderlond day.
Mike thank you for all your update over the weekend as we all know it is your day off! ;) Thanks.....
Justin.
There will always be some one complaining about the forcasted snow amounts... I personaly would rather be ready than not.. I will not be disappointed if we get only one inch, yet if we get much more I am ready!
Once again Mike is human, and is not nature he does his best to keep us informed of the worst..or the best:)
He is not trying to get us excited, yet to warn us
Thank you Mike!
Night after night Americans watch the local news as the weatherman predicts what kind of a day tomorrow will be. These meteorologists, using the most up-to-date equipment available, boldly give you the five-day forecast.
But it's well known that, even with all of their research and expensive equipment, it really is just a "best guess." There are just too many variables. If the wind picks up here it could blow in a storm, if the temperature drops here it could start to snow. The earth is a vast and wondrous place. Weather does what it wants.
The truth is computer models are able to include only some of the components that make up the climate system. To include the next component would take a computer a thousand times faster than we now have. To go beyond the that component requires an increase in computer power that is so large only mathematicians can comprehend the numbers.
Today is a good example. The models didn't show this snow. Yet we are to believe the next model forecast. Yes it might happen, but then again as shown today the weather does what it wants.
Isn't is amazing that when we haven't had much snow this winter 6-8 inches seems like blizzard to us. lol
Is a pretty day.. that is if you like snow..The snow is starting to fall again in Laf. Big flakes!
All need to hang tight, wait and see, what nature has in store for us...
Be safe all..
Teri in Laf.
looks to me like this system is going to fizzle out and miss the north central part of the state:)...
Mike...with the new inch snow cover in Laf., are you sure the system won't "go around" this cold air (from the new snowpack) like you've said storms do?
Thanks.
No one can be sure till it gets here:-)
I am up to 1.1 inches in Tipton... still snowing lightly....MIKE...keep the updates coming today/tonight!!!
Chris in Tipton
Hi Mike and justin, this is Becky from monticello. Is white county in this coverage of snow ?? i sure hope so i want it atleast up to my yahoo,,,, Then starting next week spring can work its way here, thats all i want is 1 major blizzard....
Hey Becky I think we will keep you in it as well ;) Most of the WLFI viewing area should see a good amount.
Although I don't see this time being a blizzard! Still should make all us snow lovers happy!
Becky do you know how much snowfall you seen today? Thanks.
Justin.
Issued by The National Weather Service
Indianapolis, IN
3:35 pm EST, Sun., Jan. 25, 2009
... SNOW TO RETURN TO CENTRAL INDIANA...
A STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING ACCUMULATING SNOW TO CENTRAL INDIANA MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. PRESENT INDICATIONS ARE FOR 2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW TO FALL ACROSS MOST OF CENTRAL INDIANA... WITH UP TO 6 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS AREAS MAINLY SOUTH OF A SULLIVAN TO BLOOMINGTON TO GREENSBURG LINE.
THERE REMAINS A LOT OF UNCERTAINTY WITH THE EXACT TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM AND THE AMOUNT OF SNOW EXPECTED WITH IT. STAY TUNED FOR THE LATEST FORECASTS FOR THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION.
The above post was a special weather statement for Tippecanoe County.
It was 31 years ago today that it started snowing and turned into a blizzard. It snowed for two days and we ended up with 17 inches of snow. There were 10 foot drifts. Everything closed. People in town couldn't get out for four days. The police department had to borrow four wheel drive vehicles. Hospital staffs were snowed in and couldn't get replaced. Now that was a snow storm. Does anyone remember?
I remember the blizzard 31 years ago today, i was in high heaven back in thos days, loved snow then love it still,, Monticello got just a dusting of snow today in some places we can still see the grass..Becky
It is so funny to me to read these posts and see how excited everyone is about the snow coming in! I love it! I used to live in upstate New York, between Malone and Massens, and when they said we were getting snow.... WE GOT IT! And a lot of it.
Let's hope we get some, the kids want to play in it!! Thanks!!
well by the sound of it, the heavy snow will be south of our vewing area...Tipp co will get about an inch bummer!
Justin what do you think now with the weather statement posted?? I looked on the NWS and it was a special statement...looks all to be south:(((
I remember the 78 and 79 blizzards. Of course, I was in high school and did not mind the snow. We were snow bound for days until the front-end loaders came and dug out the rural county roads.
F/C
Looks like Mike has been the only one calling for heavier snow locally. He'll either be the only hero or the only zero. Now if he changes his mind now it's to late. The bids are in. Good luck!
Wow metro Indy barely received any snow. They only got like a dusting.
I think I will stick to my guns! I will still call for what I have been calling for! 3" to 6" for now!
I have my gut saying this system will keep moving north!
Justin.
3" to 6" and We can always add on later!
Justin.
I remember the blizzard or 78 as well, have many photos!
I loved the snow. I was living with my parents at the time. I was trying to break up with my boyfriend of 3 years, he came to my parents home and tried to persuade me to marry him. He was snowed in with us for over 2 days!!!! My parents wouldnt let him leave due to the bad weather.
I could not wait for the roads to clear so he could go to his home..and NO I did not marry him LOL!
Love the boyfriend story.
The NWS has bumped the Winter Storm Watch further north....good sign....!!!!! I agree....4-6 inches looks good...can always add more later as things become more clear!
Chris in Tipton
Looking @ weather.com & weather.gov it looks like the jet stream is go way south of us. I'm not sure how it will be pushed north enough for us to be affected. We might get at most 1-3".
how much further up north Chris??
Like I posted the past 2 days. I believe we will see up to 1 inch and hope it melts fast. :-)
It is south of Terra Haute east to Greensburg. Ice storm warning in affect for NW corner of Arkansas
Indy just reported they could see up to 5 inches of snow Mon night into Tue..but they did say this needs to be watched close, and that it looks like its going to stay on the south track..south of indy
Still looks to be going South of our area. Not seeing 6-8 inches. More like 1-3.
Kids, looks like no school delay for Tipp County...get ready for the quiz on Tuesday!
rise over run for the slope
This is weather fun. A developing possible storm and watching and guessing where it will go and who will be the snow winner.
Oh well, the excitement here kept me occupied, its too bad. I was looking forward to a good snow, then it can move on to spring. It can go ahead do the transition to spring now. :)
A real bummer.
How are we even getting anything. Our area does not appear to be anywhere near the storm. There is a winter storm watch, but way south.
This is a southern storm, its all south, so it doesn't look like we are even getting anything. No storm, no snow. Its a little frustrating. I was excited too.
Hi all,
Here we go again! I do hope for more than 1-3 inches of snow, we will have to sit tight, and be ready for snow or no snow.
I have not seen any focasts for Monday night into Tuesday that have predicted snowfall amounts to be above 6 inches..Yet as most of us know this still needs to be watched..
Teri
Oh and that is just by watching TV:)
Keeping my fingers crossed for more, now to check the computer.
Teri
Again, another station confirmed. We are only getting about 1 or so inches...lol wow. All this fuss over nothing. :) Oh well. This storm missed us.
I cannot believe how excited we all are over this, only to get nothing. Indiana for ya. lol. We were so hopeful too.
Perhaps February will give us something.
A southern storm. We are not getting anything. A little snow like today, if that.
Please everybody don't call this storm done just yet it is still a ways off. We need not to let are guard down!
Remember it has happend time and time again this Winter these systems like to go 100 to 150 miles more north and west then the models and maps show! I have been watching this system for some time now and it has already started to move more north then this time last week or two days ago for that matter.
We need to watch it closely and be ready for anything!
I know I will not call this over at all it is way to soon.....
Justin.
Just watched the two South Bend stations. Both agree that the storm will be south of them, but they did not say how far south. One station did say the storm track is ever changing, and it needs to be watched carefully. Both stations forecasted a possible 1-3 inches for South Bend. Then, of course, they had to launch into a lengthy discusion about possible lake effect snow.
F/C
I hope for Mike's sake we get the 6-8. If not he will be 0-8. We're rooting for you Mike.
Mike, your awesome! Bring us some snow!
I heard her say laf had a report of 1.2"
2 products issued by NWS for: Frankfort IN
Hazardous Weather Outlook
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
342 PM EST SUN JAN 25 2009
INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-262045-
CARROLL-WARREN-TIPPECANOE-CLINTON-HOWARD-FOUNTAIN-MONTGOMERY-
BOONE-TIPTON-HAMILTON-MADISON-DELAWARE-RANDOLPH-VERMILLION-PARKE-
PUTNAM-HENDRICKS-MARION-HANCOCK-HENRY-VIGO-CLAY-OWEN-MORGAN-
JOHNSON-SHELBY-RUSH-
342 PM EST SUN JAN 25 2009
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL INDIANA.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL DIMINISH TO FLURRIES BY THIS EVENING. SNOW
COVERED SURFACES MAY BE SLIPPERY.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
ACCUMULATING SNOWS ARE EXPECTED FROM MONDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.
AT THE MOMENT...AROUND 2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED DURING
THAT TIME PERIOD.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.
&&
MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/IND (ALL
LOWERCASE)
$$
Notice how it says AT THE MOMENT 2- 4 inches are expected. At the moment means that could change. I'm still rooting for Mike's forecast. I think he will be right on! And the 2-4 is not much of a difference from his. So, we will just wait and see!!
Actually, I believe that 2-4 inches is quite a bit different than 6-8 inches of snow...
I don't this is appropriate discussion here. I am sure you can understand.
Thank You!
Mike hasn't updated for awhile...I wonder if he is slowly realizing he is wrong or maybe it is something else...all other weather sources seem quite sure on this southern idea...
BUMMER.>>><<<
I just don't understand why here in Laf., when we have a snowstorm forecast for us, it pulls to the north towards Chicago...and then what do you know...we need it to pull north onto us and it just can't seem to do it...the one time we needed it the other way around, it wouldn't happen........I guess Laf. is now a NO SNOWSTORM AREA...>>>the snowstorms are allowed to go north, they are allowed to go south...but by some reason, they cannot and will not hit Laf...
Again, I just don't get it...we still support you Mike though!
Maybe February will bring is something, but then it gets too late, weather will start to shifting more to spring.
Yea same here I just don't see anyway that the system would be able to shift to the north like predicted. -Dustin Monon
Being optimistic and it tracks north we would only be looking at 2-4" no way for 8". 2-4 would good enough to take daughter sledding for the first time :-)
Any updates mike or justin?
another fizzle
Has anyone looked at the radar lately it looks the snow is redeveloping in Illinois right now.
... SNOW TO RETURN TO CENTRAL INDIANA...
A STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING ACCUMULATING SNOW TO CENTRAL INDIANA MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. PRESENT INDICATIONS ARE FOR 2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW TO FALL ACROSS MOST OF CENTRAL INDIANA... WITH UP TO 6 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS AREAS MAINLY SOUTH OF A SULLIVAN TO BLOOMINGTON TO GREENSBURG LINE.
THERE REMAINS A LOT OF UNCERTAINTY WITH THE EXACT TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM AND THE AMOUNT OF SNOW EXPECTED WITH IT. STAY TUNED FOR THE LATEST FORECASTS FOR THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION.
Seems to always go North so maybe it will be our turn to get that 6 to 8!!!! All at one time what a winter wonderland that will be!!! YOU GO MIKE I DO BELIEVE YOU ARE RIGHT ON THIS TIME!!!!
Didn't we miss a few systems last year because they didn't track north? Also the snow in Illinois right now is south of the Lafayette line
Want to go on a ride on the roller coaster? Wheeeee!!! Its like we are riding the Beast at Kings Island!
haha!
Ya I'll give you all what I'M looking at.
I don't think mikes forecast is wrong. He did call for 3" to 6" inch range as well as I have for the past two days. Now 3" to 6" means no less the 3 now more then 6 So anything in the middle is right on we have to remember that! I only say this because my sister gets all pumped up thinking it is a for sure six inches. lol.
But I do still like the 3" to 6" range. I will stick with it.
Starting later on Monday night with a few flurries to showers then the main part of the system Tuesday. And then will start to tapper off by Wednesday.
Now I would also like to point out that this system only has to go about another 100 miles north for us to see more snow yet so this is what we need to watch and remember.
Take a look at today! Models showed less then an inch and we ended up with and inch and in some areas a little more. This is why with it still being a day and a half out we do not give up and call it over.
Anyone in Indiana knows it is not over till it is over. And we got time. I do however think an inch is to low! I will keep watching it closely but I do still think the kids will have some good snow to get out and play!
Thats the latest as of 9:23pm.
Justin.
Actually it does look like L-town could see some more light snow showers even the NWS put it in the forecast.
^^light snow showers tonight^^-Correction
Bring on tghe snow!!Got the kids out to sled for there first time and I even went down too lol. I was great!!
Anything under 6 inches isn't a snow storm and that is what was predicted in earlier blogs. So whether we get an inch, 1-3, 2-4, or 3-6 we wont get that snow storm that many want. You can't sugar coat it any other way.
As others have said. The weather will do what it wants.
accu weather now has Laf. 5.1 inch range for the few days..
If I recall right Mike said 3" to 6" inches with a ((chance)) for 6" to 8" That was the goal.
But it looks like 3" to 6" is still forecasted.
Yep Accuweather has 4.9inches for monon so that is a change. ^_^ -Dustin Monon
Good job Justin, and well said!
Just checking in, my so many postings!
I got a head start for the morning on cleaning off the car. A nice fluffy snow..it is very pretty out, I love the sparkle:)
I think you are right on with all you stated!
Are your dogs liking this white stuff? Mine refused to come in when I calld, having too much fun romping around.
Teri in Laf.
well i plan on going to the store tomorrow, cause after all this is Indiana winter. I think we are going to get the snow fall cause my bones are aching. You all take care and be safe.
Teri My dog was a little mad this afternoon for his fav ball was froze to the ground! I had to get him another one! :-) Poor little guy! lol.
Justin.
Oh that is not good about the bones aching! I get a headache before storms! The pressure change or something!
LOL Justin! Did you get any photos of the snow falling this morning?
Teri
I would say....a full 24-30 hours in advance....4-6 inches, with 5 being the most likely amt...looks good!
I CAN'T WAIT FOR MIKE TO UPDATE US!!!!! I HOPE IT HAPPENS TONIGHT!!!!
Chris in Tipton
Not as it was falling but I did snap a few after it fell.
Justin.
Mike and Justin, I'm counting on you guys!! Mike said not to believe the other news channels or websites. I have told probably 15 or 20 people that they are wrong because I believe in you...I hope you haven't let me down...for the fourth time this year!! I don't want to look like an idiot to my friends, family, and co-workers!! 3-6 inches still is not 6-8 inches no matter how you look at it!!
Justin,I didnt take any darn it..Well have to get some shut eye, have fun tracking..And I hope all will remember this is a friendly blog..be kind!
There must be a storm brewing, I dont recall seeing so many postings in one day:)
Be safe all
Teri
Rest well Teri! And very ture this is a nice Blog all be kind! Good words!
Justin.
Awww..c'mon folks, LOL..there HAVE to be snow lovers in Indy, too!! :-) :-) Actually south of Lafayette has not seen much winter have they? I am just thankful it is NOT going to be frz rain! I saw a warning for heavy ice in MO and had horrors of it coming up this way. I will take snow any day!
Wow, I just read ALL the back posts on the blog since I have been absent the past few days. Bloggers LOVE to talk, don't they?? Me included!
Okay, will stay tuned...g'night all!
MA in REM
My daughter was so funny this morning. She slept in late, coming down stairs all blurry eyed,guzzled down a glass of oj, Walking into the liveing room blinds wide open to the picture window, she just stopped! put her hands on each side of her face, eyes were big, and her mouth wide open. I asked her what was wrong? she said SNOW!!! yes! She reminded me of the boy in the movie home alone with that famous surprised look...
Mike said 6-8 for the week....not this storm.....
Chris in Tipton
Come on Mike....we have to hear from you tonight....well, it is now Mon AM!
Chris in Tipton
...so he has about 5-7 inches to go for the week, i would be happy with that!!
I am telling anyone who is listening:
WRTV: 2-5 inches
WXIN: 4-5 inches
Accuweather: 5.2 inches
FOR THIS STORM FOR OUR AREA. Believe what you want....don't believe what you don't want to....Most of us with some knowledge see the tendency of this storm drifting north. Mike hasn't spoken in over 14 hours....I wish that he would!! I can only tell you what I see. If I could WISH a storm....I'd be talking about 12-18 inches!!!!
Chris in Tipton
People who are b/moaning about Mike calling for 6-8 inches needs to remember....he said 3-6 for this storm and 6-8 for the week!
Chris in Tipton
Chris it seems we are the only ones up at this time of night. lol. I have an update if you want it! coming in a min.
Justin.
I for one do not want any snow.. I am ready for springtime!! almost 3 months to go... HURRY UP SPRING!!!=)
Your not the only ones up, some of us work the late shift!! I would be very in interested in an update!
thanks Justin!!
from the night shift
Ok here we go..........
I have been looking through the latest model runs and I still as of now like the 3" to 6" inch range. I know a lot of others are not calling for this but I have been for the past few days as well as Mike has and I will stick by my forecast.
The thing we need to remamber and watch closely with this system is it has been moving north more and more every day little by little. And it only needs to go around 100 miles more north to up our snowfall amunts again. This is why we will have to keep a close watch on it. I know if you pull up a model it will show the moisture to our south but if we think about it! We have seen a few systems come from the gulf this winter and they all went more north then the models showed. However we did not see it fall as snow for our temperatures where to warm. This time anything that falls will be in the way of snow. Which I think is great news. As well as I'M sure you all do.
All this is expected to start today ((Monday Night)) as flurries and really take off by Tuesday and start to tapper off by later on Wednesday.
If we see this system track more north then amounts will go up still for now we will keep it between 3" and 6" inches. There is still a day and a half to go so in no way should we call it over. Not in the least bit.
I'M sure mike and all even I will keep everybody posted as the day goes and we should all be ready for anything.
Justin.
Good post Justin!!
Chris in Tipton
Thanks Justin, that keeps me going, I was getting worried. I'll keep the faith, you guys know what is going on more than I!! I have noticed as of late, more and more people are slowly increasing their amounts. I hope this holds true. I just want a nice heavy snow on Tuesday!! Keep up the good work!!
I am officially requesting that TIPTON CO be added to the WLFI viewing area. There is Clinton Co to my west....Howard Co to my north....I want my county included. Tipton Co mirrors your viewing area's weather more so than Indy....please consider!
Developing...
Chris in Tipton
Accuweather is saying 3.2 for Lafayette, I don't think they know what they are doing, hopefully it goes up again because they just dropped it. It was at 4.7 earlier!!
Chris i am with u 12-18 inches would be great.
Is everyone still sleeping!!! C'mon its due day!
Still up over here !!
1-2 inches of snow now :( sigh
Duped again:(
stephani davis is saying 1-2 inches Justin are you still saying 3-6 inches????.
The weather man for WNDU in South Bend stated this morning, that this storm needs to be watched closely as the track is constantly changing. Both stations are predicting heavy snow for areas to the south, but once again, I don't know what they mean by south.
It was such a pleasant, "fast" drive from Rochester to Royal Center this morning. The roads were clear and dry!!!!
F/C
I thought Stefanie said for day day 1-3 inces then more tonight and some tomorrow!
When we add an inch or two with three or so systems we could well end up with 6 inches for the week. The snow lovers are still looking the the big one, 6 inches or more with one snow. And it could happen with this system.
And the winter storm watch creeps further north!! Now includes Indianapolis.....we are not THAT far away ....and considering that the watch has come north 2-3 counties each forecast run.....I still think we are OK. I WANT TO HEAR FROM MIKE!!!!
Chris in Tipton
What you all need to remember about forecasting, whether it be rain or snow, is IF the approaching system shifts by as little as 50 miles either way, it changes the forecast drastically for any given area.
This from someone who has been watching wx longer than most of you have been alive :-) I am thankful for the modern technology that just gets better adn better :-) Thanks, MIKE!!!
MA in REM
This is exhausting!
Old weathermen never die...they just ...what??
I think you jumped the gun MIke
It look like it is every so slightly shifting north. Warnings are still way south. Not sure if they have tracked further north. But looking at some maps your right MA if it tracks about 50-100 miles north we will be the bulls eye.
How much snow is monticello going to get hopefully enough to plow. And i hope you aint wrong about this prediction
Remember Mike's forecast was for Lafayette to be in the bulls eye. If it isn't he is wrong. There's nothing wrong with being wrong. It happens every day to meteorologist across the country and us arm chair forecasters as well. You win some and you lose some. This game isn't over yet so we don't know the results.
I just saw a forcast on line and it says...2-4 in but the line is very very close to us to get the 4-6. Everyone knows that weather is predicting....not a given. geesh guys give them a break
CarrollCoGirl
I still think Mike will be right on with this one. The warnings and watches keep creeping closer and closer to the WLFI viewing area.
We so need an update from Mike. I know he is probably really busy.
We need a Mike Prangley Blogger Poster that we can all sign and send him for all his hard work. Actually all the weather employees at WLFI do a great job. We forget that Mike is just 1 of the many that work hard to keep us safe. Mike has a love and a passion for this stuff just as the rest of us do. We also have to remember that Mike loves his family and deserves time with them as well. There are not many like Mike in the weather world so IF he does not hit this one on the nail head so be it. He has kept us all safe for many years. Mike for President!!
William in Remington.
Accuweather has Warren County in the 3-6 in range as of right now and is saying 4.2 inches over the next few days, so I'm optimistic. The advisories keep moving north. Last night they weren't in Vigo county, now they are. The county to my west is Vermillion, IL and it is under a watch so I think we will be fine...I hope. Can't wait to hear from you Mike!!
I still like 3" to 6" and I will keep with it!
One model last night was forecasting south and now has showed it moved more north like was expected. I feel no need to give up on this system and I still feel we will Hit our goal between 3" and 6" inches.
Mary anne is very right about systems moving 50 miles north west south anyway and it will change a forecast. we need to watch this system very closely.
Justin.
And how this is going to work so you all know is this is a final snowfall total. The system will start later on tonight and go through Tuesdaty and start to tapper off by around Wednesday afternoon.
SO as the final I really feel good about the 3" to 6" inch range.
Justin.
Thanks Justin.
william in remington
The jet stream looks to really dive tomorrow. Looks like the cold air will be around for awhile to support the new snow.
william in remington
Is there any wind with the incoming snow? Looking for a day off school...
.DISCUSSION...
406 AM CST
THERE WILL BE SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS TODAY. SNOW WILL OCCUR TUESDAY IN
NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS...NORTHEAST ILLINOIS AND NORTHWEST INDIANA.
TODAY...THE RADAR SHOWS A BAND OF SNOW ACROSS NORTHERN ILLINOIS. THE SNOW
IS LIGHT AND ISOLATED. WE WILL ADD SNOW TO THE FORECAST FOR AREAS
SOUTH AND WEST OF A LINE FROM RENSSELAER INDIANA TO MENDOTA
ILLINOIS. THERE IS SOME WEAK POSITIVE VORTICITY ADVECTION. THE 850
MB TEMPERATURE GRADIENT IS OVER CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND A 300 MB WIND
MAXIMUM WILL MOVE THROUGH THE NORTHERN ILLINOIS TODAY. THE
FORECAST SOUNDING FROM THE LOCAL WRF SHOWS A LAYER OF DEW POINT
DEPRESSION LESS THAN 5 DEGREES 7800 TO 23000 FEET. A DRY LAYER IS
FORECAST BELOW 7800 FEET. BY NOON TODAY MORE OF THE SOUNDING
BECOMES SATURATED. THERE IS SOME WEAK AGEOSTROPHIC CIRCULATION.
TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...SNOW WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION. A 500 MB
WAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. AHEAD OF THIS
TROUGH WILL WARM AIR ADVECTION. A SURFACE LOW WILL MOVE INTO
KENTUCKY AND ISENTROPIC LIFT WILL BECOME STRONG ON THE 285K
SURFACE OVER ILLINOIS TUESDAY. WILL FORECAST LIKELY SNOW TUESDAY
AFTERNOON FOR MOST OF THE FORECAST REGION. THE FORECAST SOUNDINGS
ARE NEARLY SATURATED AT THE LAYERS WITH THE TEMPERATURES FOR
MAXIMUM SNOW GROWTH. WE USED THE PAST BIAS FOR THE LAST 6 DAYS ON
THE WRF...GFS... NAM MODELS AND MOS GUIDANCE FOR THE TEMPERATURE
FORECAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY. WE USED THE BIAS ADJUSTED LOCAL WRF
FOR THE DEW POINT FORECAST TODAY...TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...A SURFACE LOW MOVES ACROSS LAKE SUPERIOR
THURSDAY. THIS LOW WILL DRAG A FRONT ACROSS ILLINOIS THURSDAY. A
LARGE AMPLITUDE TROUGH MOVES ACROSS ILLINOIS AND INDIANA FRIDAY.
WE WILL FORECAST SNOW WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY.
I think winds will be light and rather calm between 5 and 10 mph for both Tuesday and Wednesday still if it is a light fluffy snow it can still blow it around.
Justin.
Justin, thank you for your updates and I will stick with you on the 3-6 inches of fluffy white stuff.
I am still looking at different things since I am wanting to find out and learn as much as I can.
CarrollCoGirl
Most of the models I looked at show the system moving further North. Not far enough yet to be in the heaviest snow, but it aint over tell its over.
That is right about the models but remember the system can move 100 to 150 mile more north then what the models show us!
So the more the models move the more the system.
Justin.
It sure looks like the storm will come in two waves...the first beginning tonight and the second Tues aftn/evening...
Northward push continues!!!
Chris in Tipton
where is mike looks like he is wrong again 1-2 inches is a far cry from 6-8
I fully expect with the next forecast....we will either be put in a Winter Storm Watch...or a Winter Weather Adv. I am not sure that a Winter Storm Warning will be forthcoming for any area...may be a Heavy Snow Warning....not much wind....BUT...if they think some ice will mix in...a WSWarning may be right on....
Chris in Tipton
Looking at the radar, it looks like it might be snowing in Remington. MaryAnn can you confirm this?
no snow in rensselaer. william in remington
I believe the air is to dry to support and accumulating snow at the moment.
Wrong! Another big nothing burger! 1-2 inches tops!
Lets keep it a nice blog!
:)
I knew it was to good to be true,, Becky from monticello
I don't get why people are so down about it. It hasn't even happened yet! It ain't over till it's over. Then you can complain if he is wrong. And even if he is wrong, HELLO.. it's Indiana weather we are talking about. Mother nature will do as she pleases.
I'm still rooting for Mike's forecast!
Hey there I just wanted to let you all know the remington is not seeing snowfall at this time for it is really light and just to the north of then! Some radars like from Intellicast show more snow then whats hitting the ground.
We do have the moisture for snow todat. And I can already see the moisture starting to build down in Oklahoma, And Arkansas,. And it is currently moving North North East, Which is a good sign at this time for snow.
We will keep watching things closely and by no means should anyone be calling this system over.
Justin.
Hey Justin,
I really like what I am seeing. The moisture rolling up from the gulf and the cold is helping lift all of that up to us. Woo Hoo could be a great night. I will say this where ever it unloads will be hammered. william
I am a snow plow drive and with this snow i would like to address this to the people that think because we are heavier than cars that we can go faster. We cant and please stay back atleast 200 to 300 ft . And people please don't be tryin to pass us or follow real close that puts us in danger and as yell as you thank u. Now bring on the overtime
Want another good sign??? Areas south and south east of Indy may have to worry about FZR/sleet!! EXCELLENT news for us!!! If we can this low to track right along the Ohio River....we are set!!! (I personally think that there will be more than enough moisture up this way..) We will be good!!
Chris in Tipton
To the snow plow driver Thank you for what you do. I have many friends that drive plows. I am also an EMT and have seen what happens to people when they do not heed the warnings.
william
Justin?
Yes William?
Justin.
Justin,
Have you heard from MA?
Not other then when she posted today!
Justin.
ok just seems like most of the regulars are not here much.
william in remington
I agree.
Justin.
iah here guys, justin you still thuinking white county will get any of this,,,,Becky
I do.
Another thing I will point out is the snow flurries we are looking for today the models last night had them right through Lafayette.
However if we look at the radars most of that is staying to our north. Which means that is moved around 50 to 100 miles north then what the models showed us last night.
This makes me think even more that we will see the main system move north. Also if we look at the current radar you will see the moisture to our south and west around Oklahoma, and arkansas, is building and currently moving north north east which I feel is a good sign for us to see snow.
Again I will keep 3" to 6" and if needed we can add later.
Justin.
This map is really great to see the whole picture. Especially if you can span it across 2 22" screens.
http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/full_loop.php
william in remington
That is a great map william. I have 2 monitors but one is 19inch while the other is a 22inch. I like what I see in that map. I am still believing in Mike's Forecast so far. Bring the snow! -Dustin in Monon
OK WHERE IS MIKE????????? COME ON MIKE WE NEED YOU!!!!!!
A couple of the models have really moved the snow into our area. Others not so much. Interesting to watch.
If I know Mike he is probably catching up with sleep and family time. He knows to get ready cause he may not get the chance once this thing takes off.
Isnt there a song from the 50's and 60's about sleepless days and sleepless nights? or is is wasted days and sleepless nights. Kinda fits here. Up all day waiting and up all night following it and up all the next day talking about it. I love this. Snow Snow Snow Snow.
I hear you William. I have a feeling It will be a long night for me as well.
Mainly because I love snow and will be watching it all night. :)
Justin.
Thanks for the map link William, that is a really good one!! You can see everything starting to build to our south and west!!
I am part of the espotter network for the NWS out of chicago and like the way that map gives you a good look at everything. This is a great thunderstorm/tornado map somtimes as well.
I plan on taking a nap sometime today so I can be up when this thing starts.
A lot of hype over a storm that will be lucky to drop 3 inches of snow.
I think it was 2 years ago we had a pretty good storm comming in and I had an old car parked out in the barn lot. I watched the snow and wind slowly build a drift to the top of the car. I think when I measured the drift it was over 5' tall. Took my backhoe to pull the car out. The kids loved to sled down it though. Did not do any good to the snowmobile that I tried to jump it with. LOL but we did have fun.
weather.com showing most of IN 3-6 with central-southern IN 6-12 inches. looks like the system is starting to change some forecasts by moving northward.
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